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Brexit Decision Effects on European Derivatives Markets: A Sectoral Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Nikolaos A. Kyriazis

    (Department of Economics, University of Thessaly, Volos, Greece.)

  • Emmanouil M. L. Economou

    (Department of Economics, University of Thessaly, Volos, Greece)

Abstract

This paper examines the Brexit’s referendum impacts on quotes of different sectors in the European derivatives market by employing a Vector Autoregression (VAR) approach for detecting bi-directional effects. During nine months after the affirmative decision about the United Kingdom (UK) leaving the European Union (EU), the primary importance British FTSE100 index is found to have influenced the prices of the highly representative of European futures markets Eurostoxx600 index and its components in a positive and statistically significant manner. Interestingly, Automobiles & Parts, Banks, Basic Resources, Construction & Materials, Oil & Gas, as well as Industrial Goods & Services are the futures sectors mostly affected by volatility in the British stock market. We argue that the Brexit decision effects mainly act through main secondary production sectors of the European economy, whereas reverse effects rely most on financial and banking services, telecommunications, as well as industrial and automobile goods.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolaos A. Kyriazis & Emmanouil M. L. Economou, 2017. "Brexit Decision Effects on European Derivatives Markets: A Sectoral Analysis," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 11(1), pages 45-58, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:awu:journl:v:11:y:2017:i:1:p:45-58
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christopher F Baum, 2006. "An Introduction to Modern Econometrics using Stata," Stata Press books, StataCorp LP, number imeus, March.
    2. Νikolaos A. Kyriazis & Emmanouil M.L. Economou, 2017. "The Relation of Brexit with the UK’s QE Decisions and its Impact on the Eurozone," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 6(1), pages 5-14.
    3. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    4. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "The depreciation of the pound post-Brexit: Could it have been predicted?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 206-213.
    5. Adesina, Tola, 2017. "Estimating volatility persistence under a Brexit-vote structural break," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 65-68.
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