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Improving Portfolio Selection Using Option-Implied Volatility and Skewness

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  1. Yabei Zhu & Xingguo Luo & Qi Xu, 2023. "Industry variance risk premium, cross‐industry correlation, and expected returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 3-32, January.
  2. Hwang, Inchang & Xu, Simon & In, Francis, 2018. "Naive versus optimal diversification: Tail risk and performance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 372-388.
  3. Sylvia Sarantopoulou-Chiourea & George Skiadopoulos, 2015. "A New Predictor of Real Economic Activity: The S&P 500 Option Implied Risk Aversion," Working Papers 741, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  4. Eduard Baitinger & Samuel Flegel, 2021. "The better turbulence index? Forecasting adverse financial markets regimes with persistent homology," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(3), pages 277-308, September.
  5. Jianhui Li & Sebastian A. Gehricke & Jin E. Zhang, 2019. "How do US options traders “smirk” on China? Evidence from FXI options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(11), pages 1450-1470, November.
  6. Eric Benhamou & Beatrice Guez, 2018. "Incremental Sharpe and other performance ratios," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 7(4), pages 1-2.
  7. Jung‐Soon Shin & Minki Kim & Dongjun Oh & Tong Suk Kim, 2019. "Do hedge funds time market tail risk? Evidence from option‐implied tail risk," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 205-237, February.
  8. Gagnon, Marie-Hélène & Power, Gabriel J. & Toupin, Dominique, 2016. "International stock market cointegration under the risk-neutral measure," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 243-255.
  9. João Guerra & Manuel Guerra & Zachary Polaski, 2019. "Market Timing with Option-Implied Distributions in an Exponentially Tempered Stable Lévy Market," Working Papers REM 2019/74, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
  10. Matthijs Breugem & Raffaele Corvino & Roberto Marfe & Lorenzo Schonleber, 2024. "Pandemic Tail Risk," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 714 JEL Classification: C, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
  11. Jerry Coakley & George Dotsis & Apostolos Kourtis & Dimitris Psychoyios, 2024. "The S&P 500 index inclusion effect: Evidence from the options market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 1157-1171, January.
  12. Ding, Wenjie & Mazouz, Khelifa & Wang, Qingwei, 2021. "Volatility timing, sentiment, and the short-term profitability of VIX-based cross-sectional trading strategies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 42-56.
  13. Neururer, Thaddeus, 2023. "Variance risk premiums and aging firms," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  14. Haotian Cai & Anatoly B. Schmidt, 0. "Comparing mean–variance portfolios and equal-weight portfolios for major US equity indexes," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 0, pages 1-7.
  15. Peter Christoffersen & Xuhui (Nick) Pan, 2014. "Equity Portfolio Management Using Option Price Information," CREATES Research Papers 2015-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  16. Symitsi, Efthymia & Chalvatzis, Konstantinos J., 2019. "The economic value of Bitcoin: A portfolio analysis of currencies, gold, oil and stocks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 97-110.
  17. Gkionis, Konstantinos & Kostakis, Alexandros & Skiadopoulos, George & Stilger, Przemyslaw S., 2021. "Positive stock information in out-of-the-money option prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  18. Hiraki, Kazuhiro & Sun, Chuanping, 2022. "A toolkit for exploiting contemporaneous stock correlations," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 99-124.
  19. Liu, Mengxi (Maggie) & Chan, Kam Fong & Faff, Robert, 2022. "What can we learn from firm-level jump-induced tail risk around earnings announcements?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  20. Pedro Barroso & Jurij-Andrei Reichenecker & Marco J. Menichetti, 2022. "Hedging with an Edge: Parametric Currency Overlay," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 669-689, January.
  21. Linyu Wang & Yifan Ji & Zhongxin Ni, 2024. "Which implied volatilities contain more information? Evidence from China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1896-1919, April.
  22. Muzzioli, Silvia, 2015. "The optimal corridor for implied volatility: From periods of calm to turmoil," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 77-94.
  23. Renato Faccini & Eirini Konstantinidi & George Skiadopoulos & Sylvia Sarantopoulou-Chiourea, 2019. "A New Predictor of U.S. Real Economic Activity: The S&P 500 Option Implied Risk Aversion," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(10), pages 4927-4949, October.
  24. Johannes Bock, 2018. "An updated review of (sub-)optimal diversification models," Papers 1811.08255, arXiv.org.
  25. Vedolin, Andrea, 2012. "Uncertainty and leveraged Lucas Trees: the cross section of equilibrium volatility risk premia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 43091, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  26. Cheng, Ai-Ru & Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R., 2014. "Risk–return trade-off in the pacific basin equity markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 123-140.
  27. Gao, Xiang & Koedijk, Kees & Walther, Thomas & Wang, Zhan, 2022. "Relative Investor Sentiment Measurement," CEPR Discussion Papers 17370, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  28. Matthijs Breugem & Raffaele Corvino & Roberto Marfè & Lorenzo Schönleber, 2020. "Pandemic Tail Risk," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 623, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
  29. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Tavakkoli, Hamid Raza & Rezgui, Hichem, 2024. "Does Islamic investing modify portfolio performance? Time-varying optimization strategies for conventional and Shariah energy-ESG-utilities portfolio," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 37-57.
  30. Chune Young Chung & Doojin Ryu & Kainan Wang & Blerina Bela Zykaj, 2018. "Optionable Stocks and Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 390-412, March.
  31. Wang, Chou-Wen & Liu, Kai & Li, Bin & Tan, Ken Seng, 2022. "Portfolio optimization under multivariate affine generalized hyperbolic distributions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 49-66.
  32. Trung H. Le & Apostolos Kourtis & Raphael Markellos, 2023. "Modeling skewness in portfolio choice," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 734-770, June.
  33. Fabozzi, Frank J. & Huang, Dashan & Jiang, Fuwei & Wang, Jiexun, 2024. "What difference do new factor models make in portfolio allocation?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  34. Michael Curran & Patrick O'Sullivan & Ryan Zalla, 2020. "Can Volatility Solve the Naive Portfolio Puzzle?," Papers 2005.03204, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
  35. Brinkmann, Felix & Kempf, Alexander & Korn, Olaf, 2014. "Forward-looking measures of higher-order dependencies with an application to portfolio selection," CFR Working Papers 13-08 [rev.], University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  36. Mohrschladt, Hannes & Langer, Thomas, 2020. "Biased information weight processing in stock markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 89-106.
  37. Sirio Aramonte & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Samuel Rosen & John W. Schindler, 2022. "Firm-Specific Risk-Neutral Distributions with Options and CDS," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(9), pages 7018-7033, September.
  38. Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2021. "Estimating real‐world probabilities: A forward‐looking behavioral framework," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1797-1823, November.
  39. Kempf, Alexander & Korn, Olaf & Saßning, Sven, 2011. "Portfolio optimization using forward-looking information," CFR Working Papers 11-10, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  40. Khashanah, Khaldoun & Simaan, Majeed & Simaan, Yusif, 2022. "Do we need higher-order comoments to enhance mean-variance portfolios? Evidence from a simplified jump process," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  41. Chen, Shu-Hsiu, 2017. "Carry trade strategies based on option-implied information: Evidence from a cross-section of funding currencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-20.
  42. Andreou, Panayiotis C. & Kagkadis, Anastasios & Philip, Dennis & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2019. "The information content of forward moments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 527-541.
  43. Joenväärä, Juha & Kauppila, Mikko & Kahra, Hannu, 2021. "Hedge fund portfolio selection with fund characteristics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
  44. Benjamin R. Auer & Tobias Hiller, 2021. "Cost gap, Shapley, or nucleolus allocation: Which is the best game‐theoretic remedy for the low‐risk anomaly?," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 876-884, June.
  45. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu, 2021. "The SKEW index: Extracting what has been left," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
  46. Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020. "A dynamic conditional approach to portfolio weights forecasting," Papers 2004.12400, arXiv.org.
  47. Zsurkis, Gabriel & Nicolau, João & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M., 2024. "First passage times in portfolio optimization: A novel nonparametric approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 312(3), pages 1074-1085.
  48. Maria Kyriacou & Jose Olmo & Marius Strittmatter, 2021. "Optimal portfolio allocation using option‐implied information," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 266-285, February.
  49. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
  50. Kempf, Alexander & Korn, Olaf & Saßning, Sven, 2014. "Portfolio optimization using forward-looking information," CFR Working Papers 11-10 [rev.], University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  51. Qi Xu & Ying Wang, 2021. "Managing volatility in commodity momentum," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 758-782, May.
  52. Guidolin, Massimo & Wang, Kai, 2023. "The empirical performance of option implied volatility surface-driven optimal portfolios," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 618(C).
  53. Markus Hirschberger & Ralph E. Steuer & Sebastian Utz & Maximilian Wimmer & Yue Qi, 2013. "Computing the Nondominated Surface in Tri-Criterion Portfolio Selection," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(1), pages 169-183, February.
  54. Chen, Xiaoyijing & Liu, Siyuan & Xu, Zailin & Yu, Mei, 2024. "Asymmetry in option implied volatility and yield: Evidence from China's ETF options market11Xiaoyijing Chen, PhD candidate. Research Interests: option pricing, financial derivatives. Siyuan Liu, maste," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  55. Stephan Süss, 2012. "The pricing of idiosyncratic risk: evidence from the implied volatility distribution," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 26(2), pages 247-267, June.
  56. Erindi Allaj, 2020. "The Black–Litterman model and views from a reverse optimization procedure: an out-of-sample performance evaluation," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 465-492, October.
  57. Alexander Kempf & Olaf Korn & Sven Saßning, 2015. "Portfolio Optimization Using Forward-Looking Information," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(1), pages 467-490.
  58. Seema Narayan, 2019. "The Influence of Domestic and Foreign Shocks on Portfolio Diversification Gains and the Associated Risks," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-26, October.
  59. , & Stein, Tobias, 2021. "Equity premium predictability over the business cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 16357, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  60. Michele Leonardo Bianchi & Gian Luca Tassinari, 2018. "Forward-looking portfolio selection with multivariate non-Gaussian models and the Esscher transform," Papers 1805.05584, arXiv.org, revised May 2018.
  61. Viet Anh Nguyen & Fan Zhang & Shanshan Wang & Jose Blanchet & Erick Delage & Yinyu Ye, 2021. "Robustifying Conditional Portfolio Decisions via Optimal Transport," Papers 2103.16451, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
  62. Tobias Berens & Dominik Wied & Daniel Ziggel, 2014. "Automated Portfolio Optimization Based on a New Test for Structural Breaks," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(2), pages 243-264, April.
  63. Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2014. "The importance of the volatility risk premium for volatility forecasting," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 303-320.
  64. Yue, Tian & Ruan, Xinfeng & Gehricke, Sebastian & Zhang, Jin E., 2023. "The volatility index and volatility risk premium in China," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 40-55.
  65. Le, Trung H., 2021. "International portfolio allocation: The role of conditional higher moments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 33-57.
  66. Bernales, Alejandro & Guidolin, Massimo, 2015. "Learning to smile: Can rational learning explain predictable dynamics in the implied volatility surface?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 1-37.
  67. Sol Kim & Geul Lee, 2017. "Lead–Lag Relationship Between Returns and Implied Moments: Evidence from KOSPI 200 Intraday Options Data," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(03), pages 1-20, September.
  68. Xiao Xiao & Chen Zhou, 2017. "Entropy-based implied moments," DNB Working Papers 581, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
  69. Zhou, Chunyang & Wu, Chongfeng & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "Dynamic portfolio allocation with time-varying jump risk," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 113-124.
  70. Campbell Harvey & John Liechty & Merrill Liechty & Peter Muller, 2010. "Portfolio selection with higher moments," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(5), pages 469-485.
  71. Langlois, Hugues, 2020. "Measuring skewness premia," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(2), pages 399-424.
  72. Jun Yuan & Qi Xu & Ying Wang, 2023. "Probability weighting in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 516-548, April.
  73. Stein, Tobias, 2024. "Forecasting the equity premium with frequency-decomposed technical indicators," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 6-28.
  74. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Manchev, Petar, 2012. "Characteristic-based mean-variance portfolio choice," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 1392-1401.
  75. Greg Orosi, 2017. "Information content of right option tails: Evidence from S&P 500 index options," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(7), pages 516-526, December.
  76. Connor J.A. Stuart & Sebastian A. Gehricke & Jin E. Zhang & Xinfeng Ruan, 2021. "Implied volatility smirk in the Australian dollar market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(3), pages 4573-4599, September.
  77. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu, 2021. "The SKEW index: extracting what has been left," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108198, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  78. Haotian Cai & Anatoly B. Schmidt, 2020. "Comparing mean–variance portfolios and equal-weight portfolios for major US equity indexes," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 326-332, July.
  79. Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Kovalenko, Illia & Post, Thierry, 2023. "A financial modeling approach to industry exchange-traded funds selection," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  80. Zhenning Hong & Ruyan Tian & Qing Yang & Weiliang Yao & Tingting Ye & Liangliang Zhang, 2021. "Asset Allocation via Machine Learning," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(4), pages 1-34, November.
  81. Przemysław S. Stilger & Alexandros Kostakis & Ser-Huang Poon, 2017. "What Does Risk-Neutral Skewness Tell Us About Future Stock Returns?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(6), pages 1814-1834, June.
  82. Bai, Yujuan & Pan, Zhiyuan & Liu, Li, 2019. "Improving futures hedging performance using option information: Evidence from the S&P 500 index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 112-117.
  83. Brinkmann, Felix & Kempf, Alexander & Korn, Olaf, 2013. "Forward-looking measures of higher-order dependencies with an application to portfolio selection," CFR Working Papers 13-08, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  84. Quaye, Enoch & Tunaru, Radu, 2022. "The stock implied volatility and the implied dividend volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  85. Echaust, Krzysztof, 2021. "Asymmetric tail dependence between stock market returns and implied volatility," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
  86. Li, Huijing & Li, Hong & Lu, Lei & Theocharides, George & Xiong, Xiong, 2020. "Macro disagreement and international options markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  87. Goodell, John W. & McGee, Richard J. & McGroarty, Frank, 2020. "Election uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty: A prediction market analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  88. Bams, Dennis & Blanchard, Gildas & Lehnert, Thorsten, 2017. "Volatility measures and Value-at-Risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 848-863.
  89. Hollstein, Fabian & Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel, 2019. "Asset prices and “the devil(s) you know”," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 20-35.
  90. Brinkmann, Felix & Korn, Olaf, 2014. "Risk-adjusted option-implied moments," CFR Working Papers 14-07, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  91. Apostolos Kourtis & Raphael N. Markellos & Lazaros Symeonidis, 2016. "An International Comparison of Implied, Realized, and GARCH Volatility Forecasts," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(12), pages 1164-1193, December.
  92. Behr, Patrick & Guettler, Andre & Truebenbach, Fabian, 2012. "Using industry momentum to improve portfolio performance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 1414-1423.
  93. Chunyang Zhou & Chongfeng Wu & Weidong Xu, 2020. "Incorporating time‐varying jump intensities in the mean‐variance portfolio decisions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 460-478, March.
  94. Symitsi, Efthymia & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Kourtis, Apostolos & Markellos, Raphael, 2018. "Covariance forecasting in equity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 153-168.
  95. Vladimir Zdorovenin & Jacques Pézier, 2011. "Does Information Content of Option Prices Add Value for Asset Allocation?," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2011-03, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
  96. Felix Brinkmann & Olaf Korn, 2018. "Risk-adjusted option-implied moments," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 149-173, July.
  97. Mohrschladt, Hannes & Schneider, Judith C., 2021. "Option-implied skewness: Insights from ITM-options," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  98. Markopoulou, Chryssa & Skintzi, Vasiliki & Refenes, Apostolos, 2016. "On the predictability of model-free implied correlation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 527-547.
  99. Eric Benhamou & Beatrice Guez, 2021. "Computation of the marginal contribution of Sharpe ratio and other performance ratios," Working Papers hal-03189299, HAL.
  100. Anatoly B. Schmidt, 2019. "Managing portfolio diversity within the mean variance theory," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 315-329, November.
  101. Slim, Skander & Dahmene, Meriam & Boughrara, Adel, 2020. "How informative are variance risk premium and implied volatility for Value-at-Risk prediction? International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 22-37.
  102. Buss, Adrian & Vilkov, Grigory & ,, 2018. "Expected Correlation and Future Market Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 12760, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  103. Sirio Aramonte & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Samuel Rosen & John W. Schindler, 2017. "Firm-Specific Risk-Neutral Distributions : The Role of CDS Spreads," International Finance Discussion Papers 1212, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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