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Monthly Measurement of Daily Timers

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  • William Goetzmann
  • Jonathan Ingersoll
  • Zoran Ivkovich

Abstract

This paper addresses the bias associated with parametric measurement of timing skill based on monthly timer returns when timers can make daily timing decisions. Simulations suggest that the classic Henriksson-Merton parametric measure of timing skill is weak and biased downward when applied to the monthly returns of a daily timer. The paper proposes an adjustment that mitigates this problem without the need to collect daily timer returns. Four tests of timing skill, carried out on a sample of 558 mutual funds, show that very few funds exhibit statisticall

Suggested Citation

  • William Goetzmann & Jonathan Ingersoll & Zoran Ivkovich, 1998. "Monthly Measurement of Daily Timers," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm88, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Oct 2000.
    • Handle: RePEc:ysm:wpaper:ysm88
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    File URL: https://repec.som.yale.edu/icfpub/publications/2442.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ding, Jing & Jiang, Lei & Liu, Xiaohui & Peng, Liang, 2023. "Nonparametric tests for market timing ability using daily mutual fund returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    2. Zhengnan Yin & Niall O’Sullivan & Meadhbh Sherman, 2024. "The market timing ability of bond mutual funds," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(5), pages 508-527, September.
    3. Malakhov, Alexey & Riley, Timothy B. & Yan, Qing, 2024. "Do hedge funds bet against beta?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1507-1525.
    4. El Ammari, Anis & Vidal, Marta & Vidal-García, Javier, 2023. "European market timing," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).

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