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Exchange Rate Exposure and Firm Dynamics

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  • Varela, Liliana

    (University of Warwick, University of Houston, CEPR and CAGE,)

  • Salomao, Juliana

    (University of Minnesota)

Abstract

This paper develops a firm-dynamics model with endogenous currency debt composition to study financing and investment decisions in developing economies. In our model, foreign currency borrowing arises from a trade-off between exposure to currency risk and growth. There is cross-sectional heterogeneity in these decisions in two dimensions. First, there is selection into foreign currency borrowing, as only productive firms employ it. Second, there is heterogeneity in firms’ share of foreign currency loans, driven by their potential growth. We assess econometrically the pattern of foreign currency borrowing using firm-level census data on Hungary, calibrate the model and quantify its aggregate impact.

Suggested Citation

  • Varela, Liliana & Salomao, Juliana, 2018. "Exchange Rate Exposure and Firm Dynamics," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1157, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:wrk:warwec:1157
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    Keywords

    firm dynamics foreign currency ; debt ; currency mismatch ; uncovered interest rate parity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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