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Turkiye�de Para Politikasinin Aktarimi:Para Politikasinin Mali Piyasalara Etkisi

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  • Zelal Aktas
  • Harun Alp
  • Refet Gurkaynak
  • Mehtap Kesriyeli
  • Musa Orak

Abstract

Bu calismada, para politikasi kararlarinin piyasalar tarafindan beklenen ve beklenmeyen kisimlari ayristirilarak, Merkez Bankasi�nin faiz kararlarinin finansal piyasalardaki goreli uzun vadeli faiz oranlari ve IMKB-100, IMKB-Mali, doviz kuru, risk primi gibi degiskenler uzerindeki etkisi incelenmistir. Elde edilen bulgular, politika faizi degisikliklerinin mali piyasalarda, ozellikle tahvil-bono faizleri uzerinde, etkili oldugunu gostermektedir. Ote yandan, hisse senedi fiyatlarinin para politikasi surprizlerine istatistiksel olarak anlamli bir tepki vermedikleri, doviz kuru tepkisinin ise kucuk oldugu bulunmaktadir. Dolayisiyla, para politikasi aktarim mekanizmasinin faiz kanalinin, temel olarak, piyasa faizleri araciligiyla etkili oldugu ortaya cikmaktadir.

Suggested Citation

  • Zelal Aktas & Harun Alp & Refet Gurkaynak & Mehtap Kesriyeli & Musa Orak, 2008. "Turkiye�de Para Politikasinin Aktarimi:Para Politikasinin Mali Piyasalara Etkisi," Working Papers 0811, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcb:wpaper:0811
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    File URL: https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/EN/TCMB+EN/Main+Menu/Publications/Research/Working+Paperss/2008/08-11
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kuttner, Kenneth N., 2001. "Monetary policy surprises and interest rates: Evidence from the Fed funds futures market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 523-544, June.
    2. Gurkaynak, Refet S. & Sack, Brian T. & Swanson, Eric P., 2007. "Market-Based Measures of Monetary Policy Expectations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 201-212, April.
    3. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 425-436, March.
    4. Özge AKINCI & Burcu GÜRCİHAN & Refet GÜRKAYNAK & Özgür ÖZEL, 2007. "Devlet iç borçlanma senetleri için getiri eğrisi tahmini," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 22(252), pages 5-25.
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    Cited by:

    1. Harun Alp & Hakan Kara & Gursu Keles & Refet Gurkaynak & Musa Orak, 2010. "Turkiye�de Piyasa Gostergelerinden Para Politikasi Beklentilerinin Olculmesi," Working Papers 1011, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. H. Burcu Gurcihan & Ozgur Ozel, 2010. "Kuresel Finansal Kriz Doneminde Para Politikasi Kurulu Kararlarinin Piyasa Getirileri Uzerindeki Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1010, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    3. Eda Gulsen & Ibrahim Burak Kanli & Neslihan Kaya, 2010. "Kuresel Kriz Doneminde TCMB’nin Faiz Kararlarinin Kur Uzerindeki Etkisine Dair Bir Analiz," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1011, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    4. Murat Duran & Gulserim Ozcan & Pinar Ozlu & Deren Unalmis, 2010. "Measuring the Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices in Turkey (Turkiye�de Para Politikasinin Finansal Varlik Fiyatlari Uzerine Etkisi)," Working Papers 1017, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

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