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Temporal Disaggregation of Business Dynamics: New Evidence for U.S. Economy

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  • Lorenza Rossi
  • Emilio Zanetti Chini

Abstract

We provide new disaggregated data and stylized facts on firm dynamics of the U.S economy by using a state-space method to transform Census yearly data of entry and exit from 1977 to 2013 into quarterly frequency. Entry is lagging and symmetric, while exit is leading and asymmetric along the business cycle. We select the most significant determinants of these variables by matching Census data with a new database by Federal Reserve. These determinants differ considerably among entry and exit. Finally, standard macroeconometric models estimated on our disaggregated series support the recent theoretical literature, according to which the cleansing effect of recession is mainly due to exit asymmetry.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorenza Rossi & Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2019. "Temporal Disaggregation of Business Dynamics: New Evidence for U.S. Economy," Working Papers in Public Economics 188, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    • Handle: RePEc:sap:wpaper:wp188
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian VAR; Firms and Establishments; Productivity; State-Space Models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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