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Analyse de la cessation d'activité en Belgique

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  • Arnaud Dellis
  • Raphael Desmet
  • Alain Jousten
  • Sergio Perelman

Abstract

L’objectif de cette étude est de montrer l’influence du système de retraite sur la cessation d’activité. La première étape consiste à estimer les incitations financières implicites à ce système et ensuite à les introduire comme variables explicatives du départ à la retraite dans une régression de type probit. Le résultat majeur de cette contribution est d’indiquer le rôle significatif de ces incitations sur les décisions individuelles. La seconde étape consiste à utiliser les résultats de cette modélisation pour analyser l’effet de réformes sur la prolongation de l’activité. Il apparaît que l’aménagement de certaines règles d’octroi et de calcul des pensions pourrait inciter les travailleurs âgés à différer l’âge de leur retraite.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnaud Dellis & Raphael Desmet & Alain Jousten & Sergio Perelman, 2002. "Analyse de la cessation d'activité en Belgique," CREPP Working Papers 0210, Centre de Recherche en Economie Publique et de la Population (CREPP) (Research Center on Public and Population Economics) HEC-Management School, University of Liège.
    • Handle: RePEc:rpp:wpaper:0210
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    File URL: http://www2.ulg.ac.be/crepp/papers/crepp-wp200210.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Dimitri Paolini, 2002. "Demande de travail et âge de la retraite," CREPP Working Papers 0213, Centre de Recherche en Economie Publique et de la Population (CREPP) (Research Center on Public and Population Economics) HEC-Management School, University of Liège.

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