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The Geography Channel of House Price Appreciation: Did the Decline in Manufacturing Partially Cause the Housing Boom?

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  • Greg Howard

    (University of Illinois)

  • Carl Liebersohn

    (MIT)

Abstract

Locational preferences contributed substantially to the United States’ 2000-2006 housing boom. The increasing desirability of inelastic areas, much of which was due to manufacturing’s decline, caused 28 percent of the rise in housing prices. We document population movements towards inelastic areas and create a new local rent index that shows rents and house prices co-moved. We show theoretically why an increase in desirability of inelastic areas would raise prices nationally. Our model also explains the geographic consequences of a national price-rent ratio change. Finally, we quantify the geography channel by creating new elasticity measures of that cover the entire country.

Suggested Citation

  • Greg Howard & Carl Liebersohn, 2018. "The Geography Channel of House Price Appreciation: Did the Decline in Manufacturing Partially Cause the Housing Boom?," 2018 Meeting Papers 925, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed018:925
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    Cited by:

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    2. Agarwal, Sumit & Deng, Yongheng & Li, Teng, 2019. "Environmental regulation as a double-edged sword for housing markets: Evidence from the NOx Budget Trading Program," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 286-309.
    3. E. V. Antonov & N. K. Kurichev & A. I. Treivish, 2022. "Shrinking Urban System of the Largest Country: Research Progress and Unsolved Issues," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 20-35, March.
    4. Manfred M. Fischer & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer & Petra Staufer‐Steinnocher, 2021. "The Dynamic Impact of Monetary Policy on Regional Housing Prices in the United States," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1039-1068, December.
    5. Parkhomenko, Andrii, 2023. "Local causes and aggregate implications of land use regulation," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    6. Howard, Greg & Liebersohn, Jack & Ozimek, Adam, 2023. "The short- and long-run effects of remote work on U.S. housing markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 166-184.
    7. Molloy, Raven & Nathanson, Charles G. & Paciorek, Andrew, 2022. "Housing supply and affordability: Evidence from rents, housing consumption and household location," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    8. Greg Howard & Carl Liebersohn, 2019. "What Explains U.S. House Prices? Regional Income Divergence," 2019 Meeting Papers 1054, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    9. Isaiah Hull & Conny Olovsson & Karl Walentin & Andreas Westermark, 2022. "Manufacturing Decline and House Price Volatility," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 264-281, July.
    10. Anthony Yezer, 2024. "Planning Regulations: Does Land Use Regulation Lower the Average Price of Housing in Cities?," Working Papers 2024-03, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    11. Nikolay Kurichev & Ekaterina Kuricheva, 2020. "Interregional migration, the housing market, and a spatial shift in the metro area: Interrelationships in the case study of Moscow," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(4), pages 689-703, August.
    12. Dias, Daniel A. & Duarte, João B., 2015. "Monetary Policy and Homeownership: Empirical Evidence, Theory, and Policy Implications," MPRA Paper 112252, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Mar 2021.
    13. Greg Howard & Jack Liebersohn, 2023. "Regional Divergence and House Prices," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 312-350, July.
    14. Xiangyu Feng & Nir Jaimovich & Krishna Rao & Stephen J Terry & Nicolas Vincent, 2023. "Location, Location, Location: Manufacturing and House Price Growth," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 133(653), pages 2055-2067.
    15. Isil Erol & Umut Unal, 2023. "Local House Price Effects of Internal Migration in Queensland: Australia's Interstate Migration Capital," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 56(3), pages 308-327, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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