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On the Importance of Sales for Aggregate Price Flexibility

Author

Listed:
  • Nicolas Vincent

    (HEC Montréal)

  • Oleksiy Kryvtsov

    (Bank of Canada)

Abstract

Macroeconomists traditionally ignore temporary price mark-downs ("sales") under the assumption that they are unrelated to aggregate phenomena. We challenge this view. First, we provide evidence from the U.K. and U.S. CPI micro data that the frequency of sales is strongly countercyclical. Second, we build a general equilibrium model in which sales arise endogenously. In response to a monetary contraction, firms facing rigid regular prices post more sales, and households search more intensively. The resulting fall in the aggregate price level can be significantly larger than if sales were ignored, implying a much smaller response of real consumption to monetary shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolas Vincent & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2015. "On the Importance of Sales for Aggregate Price Flexibility," 2015 Meeting Papers 46, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed015:46
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    Cited by:

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    2. Demetris Koursaros & Nektarios Michail & Niki Papadopoulou & Christos Savva, 2023. "Sales and promotions and the great recession deflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 349-392, January.
    3. Etienne Gagnon & David López-Salido & Jason Sockin, 2017. "The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular, and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(10), pages 3229-3242, October.
    4. Richard Davies, 2021. "Prices and inflation in the UK - A new dataset," CEP Occasional Papers 55, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    5. Johannes Stroebel & Joseph Vavra, 2019. "House Prices, Local Demand, and Retail Prices," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 127(3), pages 1391-1436.
    6. Hobijn, Bart & Nechio, Fernanda & Shapiro, Adam Hale, 2021. "Using Brexit to identify the nature of price rigidities," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    7. Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2016. "Is there a quality bias in the Canadian CPI? Evidence from microdata," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(4), pages 1401-1424, November.
    8. Anderson, Eric & Malin, Benjamin A. & Nakamura, Emi & Simester, Duncan & Steinsson, Jón, 2017. "Informational rigidities and the stickiness of temporary Sales," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 64-83.
    9. Fernando Alvarez & Francesco Lippi, 2020. "Temporary Price Changes, Inflation Regimes, and the Propagation of Monetary Shocks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 104-152, January.
    10. David Argente & Munseob Lee, 2021. "Cost of Living Inequality During the Great Recession," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(2), pages 913-952.
    11. Judith A. Chevalier & Anil K. Kashyap, 2019. "Best Prices: Price Discrimination and Consumer Substitution," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 126-159, February.
    12. Carlos Viana de Carvalho & Niels Arne Dam & Jae Won Lee, 2014. "Real Rigidities and the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Price Stickiness: Evidence from Micro and Macro Data Combined," Textos para discussão 634, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    13. Wenbin Wu, 2022. "Sales of Durable Goods and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 43, pages 80-92, January.
    14. Chen Yeh & David Argente, 2016. "A Menu Cost Model with Price Experimentation," 2016 Meeting Papers 1515, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Erwan Gautier & Hervé Le Bihan, 2018. "Shocks vs Menu Costs: Patterns of Price Rigidity in an Estimated Multi-Sector Menu-Cost Model," 2018 Meeting Papers 248, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Carlos Carvalho & Niels Arne Dam & Jae Won Lee, 2020. "The Cross-Sectional Distribution of Price Stickiness Implied by Aggregate Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(1), pages 162-179, March.
    17. Fernando Alvarez & Francesco Lippi, 2016. "Price plans and the real effects of monetary policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 549, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Kochen Federico, 2016. "Price-Setting in Mexico and the Real Effects of Monetary Shocks," Working Papers 2016-21, Banco de México.
    19. Sheremirov, Viacheslav, 2020. "Price dispersion and inflation: New facts and theoretical implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 59-70.
    20. Glandon, PJ, 2018. "Sales and the (Mis)measurement of price level fluctuations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 60-77.
    21. Nicoletta Berardi & Federico Ravenna & Mario Samano, 2020. "Everyday Regular Prices," Working papers 746, Banque de France.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • L81 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Retail and Wholesale Trade; e-Commerce
    • M31 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Marketing and Advertising - - - Marketing

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