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Price Jumps in Developed Stock Markets: The Role of Monetary Policy Committee Meetings

Author

Listed:
  • Rangan Gupta

    (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa)

  • Chi Keng Marco Lau

    (Newcastle Business School, Northumbria University, Newcastle, UK)

  • Ruipeng Liu

    (Department of Finance, Deakin Business School, Deakin University, Melbourne, Australia)

  • Hardik A. Marfatia

    (Department of Economics, Northeastern Illinois University, Chicago, USA)

Abstract

In this paper, we analyze the degree of occasional large price changes and extreme volatility – known as jump intensity – in the Euro area, Japan, the UK and the US. We also measure the reaction of jump intensity in these markets to the US Federal Reserve meetings as well as of the country’s own monetary policy meetings. The results indicate that the conditional jump intensity in all the markets follows a highly persistent process. Evidence suggests that the US monetary policy positively impacts the jump intensity in the case of the UK, Euro, and the US, including in the sub-sample periods found by the structural break test. Moreover, in assessing the joint effects, we find that the US continues to maintain the central role in driving the jump intensities, with it having even a greater role than monetary policy of the country itself.

Suggested Citation

  • Rangan Gupta & Chi Keng Marco Lau & Ruipeng Liu & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "Price Jumps in Developed Stock Markets: The Role of Monetary Policy Committee Meetings," Working Papers 201727, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:pre:wpaper:201727
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    Cited by:

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    2. Terence Tai Leung Chong & Yueer Wu & Jue Su, 2020. "The Unusual Trading Volume and Earnings Surprises in China’s Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-17, October.
    3. Shamrez Ali, Sundus Waqar, Muhammad Haris, 2019. "The Nexus between Political & Institutional Corruption Events with the Stock Market: A Study of Pakistan," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 4(1), pages 59-71, March.
    4. Yang, Tianle & Zhou, Fangxing & Du, Min & Du, Qunyang & Zhou, Shirong, 2023. "Fluctuation in the global oil market, stock market volatility, and economic policy uncertainty: A study of the US and China," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 377-387.
    5. Ma, Chaoqun & Tian, Yonggang & Hsiao, Shisong & Deng, Liurui, 2022. "Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    6. Rui Wang, 2021. "Evaluating the Unconventional Monetary Policy of the Bank of Japan: A DSGE Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, June.
    7. Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Keagile Lesame, 2021. "Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Yunus, Nafeesa, 2023. "Long-run and short-run impact of the U.S. economy on stock, bond and housing markets: An evaluation of U.S. and six major economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 211-232.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Jump intensity; Developed stock markets; Monetary policy committee meeting dates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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