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South Africa’s Wood Export Potential Using a Gravity Model Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Joel Hinaunye Eita

    (Investment and Trade Policy Centre, University of Pretoria)

  • André C. Jordaan

    (Investment and Trade Policy Centre, University of Pretoria)

Abstract

Under the Accelerated Shared Growth Initiative for South Africa (ASGISA), the South African government identified priority sectors that need to be promoted and developed in order to accelerate growth and reduce unemployment and poverty by the year 2014. Among these, the wood sector was identified as a priority sector that needs to be developed for this purpose. The development of this sector may contribute towards achieving this objective by higher levels of economic participation and income generation. This paper analyses the determinants of exports of wood and articles of wood using a gravity model approach. It further investigates whether there is unexploited trade potential between South Africa and its trading partners within this sector. The analysis has shown that there is unexploited trade potential among some of South Africa’s trading partners which could stimulate growth to alleviate unemployment and poverty.

Suggested Citation

  • Joel Hinaunye Eita & André C. Jordaan, 2007. "South Africa’s Wood Export Potential Using a Gravity Model Approach," Working Papers 200723, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:pre:wpaper:200723
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    Cited by:

    1. Feng, Sida & Li, Huajiao & Qi, Yabin & Guan, Qing & Wen, Shaobo, 2017. "Who will build new trade relations? Finding potential relations in international liquefied natural gas trade," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 1226-1238.
    2. Sergei S. Sudakov & Alexey A. Zinchenko, 2024. "Export Potential Assessment Methodology: The Case of the Republic of Uzbekistan," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 1, pages 61-77, February.
    3. Khan, Rana Ejaz Ali & Khan, Tasnim & Maqsood, Muhammad Farqan, 2010. "Export potential of cottage industry: a case study of Sialkot (Pakistan)," MPRA Paper 34427, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Tsang, Cheuk Yan & Shakur, Shamim, 2017. "New Zealand’s Trade Prospects in an Uncertain Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Environment: Results from Gravity Model," 2017 Conference, October 19-20, Rotorua, New Zealand 269528, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    5. Hippolyte, Rommell, 2012. "Determinants of Barbados Exports: Preliminary Analysis using a Gravity Model Approach," MPRA Paper 75321, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2015.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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