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Are Fluctuations in Gas Consumption Per Capita Transitory? Evidence from LM Unit Root Test with Two Structural Breaks

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  • Shahbaz, Muhammad
  • Solarin, Sakiru Adebola
  • Mallick, Hrushikesh

Abstract

With a view to determine the effectiveness of the policies aimed at boosting the natural gas consumption, this paper examines the unit root properties of natural gas in 44 countries, for the period 1965 to 2010. Applying the LM unit root tests, which allow for a maximum of two structural breaks, we are able to reject the null hypothesis of unit root in the natural gas consumption series of 57% of the countries, under study. The implication of these results is that shocks to natural gas consumption in several countries will produce transitory effects. A key consequence of this finding is that initiatives designed to have permanent positive effects on natural gas, such as construction of large natural gas pipeline network, are to be effective in increasing the share of natural gas consumption in only 43% of the total sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Shahbaz, Muhammad & Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Mallick, Hrushikesh, 2015. "Are Fluctuations in Gas Consumption Per Capita Transitory? Evidence from LM Unit Root Test with Two Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 67227, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Oct 2015.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:67227
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2016. "The relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth in OPEC members," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1348-1356.
    2. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2016. "Are fluctuations in oil consumption permanent or transitory? Evidence from linear and nonlinear unit root tests," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 262-270.
    3. Yifei Cai & Cosimo Magazzino, 2019. "Are shocks to natural gas consumption transitory or permanent? A more powerful panel unit root test on the G7 countries," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(2), pages 111-120, May.
    4. Schneider, Nicolas & Strielkowski, Wadim, 2023. "Modelling the unit root properties of electricity data—A general note on time-domain applications," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 618(C).
    5. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Omay, Tolga & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Sharp and Smooth Breaks in Unit Root Testing of Renewable Energy Consumption: The Way Forward," MPRA Paper 92176, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Feb 2019.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gas Consumption; Stationary; Structural Breaks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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