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The long-run relationship between savings and investment in oil-exporting developing countries: A case study of the Gulf Arab States

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  • Basher, Syed Abul
  • Fachin, Stefano

Abstract

The relationship between national saving and investment over the long term is examined for six Gulf Arab oil-exporting developing countries -- Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. We show that, provided some large outliers are properly accounted for, long-run equilibrium relationships between saving and investment (both total and fixed) exist in these countries. Since these countries have typically large current account surpluses such relationships cannot be explained by standard arguments. Our hypothesis is that the response of investment to saving largely depends on domestic absorptive capacity.

Suggested Citation

  • Basher, Syed Abul & Fachin, Stefano, 2011. "The long-run relationship between savings and investment in oil-exporting developing countries: A case study of the Gulf Arab States," MPRA Paper 29077, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:29077
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ari, Ibrahim & Akkas, Erhan & Asutay, Mehmet & Koç, Muammer, 2019. "Public and private investment in the hydrocarbon-based rentier economies: A case study for the GCC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 165-175.
    3. Allegret, Jean-Pierre & Couharde, Cécile & Coulibaly, Dramane & Mignon, Valérie, 2014. "Current accounts and oil price fluctuations in oil-exporting countries: The role of financial development," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 185-201.
    4. Hassan B. Ghassan & Hassan R. Alhajhoj, 2016. "Long-Run Dynamic Relationship between FDI and Domestic Investment in GCC Countries," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 59(2), pages 16-43.
    5. Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Bekun, Festus Victor & Etokakpan, Mfonobong Udom & Driha, Oana M., 2019. "A road to enhancements in natural gas use in Iran: A multivariate modelling approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    6. Covi, Giovanni, 2014. "The First Oil Shock, Stylized Facts, Reflections and The Easterly Puzzle in a Forty-Year Retrospective," MPRA Paper 58130, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Nenubari John Ikue & Lamin Mohammed Magaji & Samuel Zeb-Omoni & Mohammed, Aminu Usman & Joseph Osaro Denwi, 2021. "Trade Balance and Oil Shocks in African Oil Exporting Countries: A Panel Threshold Regression," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 10(4), pages 150-166, October.
    8. Syed Abul Basher & Alfred Haug & Perry Sadorsky, 2017. "The impact of oil-market shocks on stock returns in major oil-exporting countries: A Markov-switching approach," Working Papers 1710, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2017.
    9. Christian Dreger & Teymur Rahmani, 2016. "The impact of oil revenues on the Iranian economy and the Gulf states," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 40(1), pages 36-49, March.
    10. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Alhajhoj, Hassan R., 2012. "Long Run Relationship between IFDI and Domestic Investment in GCC Countries," MPRA Paper 62544, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jul 2013.
    11. Vasudeva N.R. Murthy & Natalya Ketenci, 2021. "The Feldstein–Horioka hypothesis for African countries: Evidence from recent panel error‐correction modelling," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5762-5774, October.
    12. Blaise Gnimassoun & Marc Joëts & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "On the link between current account and oil price fluctuations in diversified economies: The case of Canada," Working Papers hal-04141574, HAL.
    13. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2018. "The impact of oil-market shocks on stock returns in major oil-exporting countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 264-280.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Saving-investment correlation; oil-exporting developing countries; GCC countries; absorptive capacity; outlier detection; integrated process.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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