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Stop Suffering! Economic Downturns and Pentecostal Upsurge

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  • Costa, Francisco J M

    (FGV EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance)

  • Junior, Angelo Marcantonio
  • Rocha, Rudi

Abstract

This paper estimates the effects of economic downturns on the expansion of Pentecostal Evangelicalism in Brazil. We find that regions more exposed to economic distress experienced a persistent rise both in Pentecostal affiliation and in the vote share of candidates connected to Pentecostal churches in national legislative elections. Once elected, these politicians carried out an agenda with greater emphasis on issues that are sensitive to fundamental religious principles. These results uncover a direct link between economic distress and a sustained entrenchment of more fundamentalist religious groups in a contemporary democracy.

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  • Costa, Francisco J M & Junior, Angelo Marcantonio & Rocha, Rudi, 2019. "Stop Suffering! Economic Downturns and Pentecostal Upsurge," SocArXiv 9g5fv, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:9g5fv
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/9g5fv
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    1. Silveus, Neil & Stoddard, Christiana, 2020. "Identifying the causal effect of income on religiosity using the Earned Income Tax Credit," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 903-924.
    2. Oeindrila Dube & Joshua E. Blumenstock & Michael Callen & Michael J. Callen, 2022. "Measuring Religion from Behavior: Climate Shocks and Religious Adherence in Afghanistan," CESifo Working Paper Series 10114, CESifo.
    3. Raphael Corbi & Fabio Miessi Sanches, 2022. "Church Competition, Religious Subsidies and the Rise of Evangelicalism: a Dynamic Structural Analysis," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2022_09, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    4. Ornelas, Emanuel & Ogeda, Pedro & Soares, Rodrigo, 2021. "Labor Unions and the Electoral Consequences of Trade Liberalization," CEPR Discussion Papers 16721, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Laura Barros & Manuel Santos Silva, 2019. "#EleNão: Economic crisis, the political gender gap, and the election of Bolsonaro," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 242, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research.
    6. Costa, Francisco J M & Marcantonio, Angelo & Rocha, Rudi, 2024. "Beyond the Pulpit: Pentecostal Growth and Economic Transformations in Brazil," OSF Preprints a72k8, Center for Open Science.
    7. Jean-Paul Carvalho & Jared Rubin & Michael Sacks, 2024. "Failed secular revolutions: religious belief, competition, and extremism," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 200(3), pages 561-586, September.

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