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Oil Crisis, Energy-Saving Technological Change and the Stock Market Crash of 1973-74

Author

Listed:
  • Sami Alpanda

    (Department of Economics, Amherst College)

  • Adrian Peralta-Alva

    (Department of Economics, University of Miami)

Abstract

The market value of U.S. corporations was nearly halved following the oil crisis of October 1973. Real energy prices more than doubled by the end of the decade, increasing energy costs and spurring innovation in energy-saving technologies by corporations. This paper uses a neoclassical growth model to quantify the impact of the increase in energy prices on the market value of U.S. corporations. In the model, corporations adopt energy-saving technologies as a response to the energy price shock and the price of installed capital falls due to investment irreversibility. The model calibrated to match the subsequent decline in energy consumption in the U.S. generates a 24% decline in market valuation; accounting for nearly half of what is observed in the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Sami Alpanda & Adrian Peralta-Alva, 2003. "Oil Crisis, Energy-Saving Technological Change and the Stock Market Crash of 1973-74," Working Papers 0604, University of Miami, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2006.
    • Handle: RePEc:mia:wpaper:0604
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock market crash; Energy crisis; Energy saving technological change; Induced innovation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • O3 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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