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Measuring Convergence of the New Member Countries’ Exchange Rates to the Euro

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  • Bettina Becker
  • Stephen G. Hall

Abstract

We propose a common factor approach to analyse convergence, which we implement using principal components analysis. This technique has not been used to analyse convergence of time series but is shown to provide a useful new tool. We show how it is in many ways a more natural way of approaching the convergence debate. We apply these ideas to a dataset of bilateral Euro and US-Dollar exchange rates of the new member countries of the European Union. Our empirical application gives sensible results about the convergence process of the new member countries’ exchange rates to the Euro.

Suggested Citation

  • Bettina Becker & Stephen G. Hall, 2009. "Measuring Convergence of the New Member Countries’ Exchange Rates to the Euro," Discussion Papers in Economics 09/2, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
    • Handle: RePEc:lec:leecon:09/2
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    File URL: https://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/dp09-2.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Becker, Bettina & Hall, Stephen G., 2009. "How far from the Euro Area? Measuring convergence of inflation rates in Eastern Europe," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 788-798, July.
    2. Sibbertsen, Philipp & Wegener, Christoph & Basse, Tobias, 2014. "Testing for a break in the persistence in yield spreads of EMU government bonds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 109-118.
    3. Basse, Tobias, 2020. "Solvency II and sovereign credit risk: Additional empirical evidence and some thoughts about implications for regulators and lawmakers," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    4. Kunze, Frederik & Basse, Tobias & Wegener, Christoph & Spiwoks, Markus, 2018. "The emergence of the RMB: A "New Normal" for China's exchange rate system?," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 348, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Convergence; exchange rates; transition economies; principal components analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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