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Policy Duration Effects, Quantitative Monetary Easing Policy and Economic Growth: Evidence from Japanese Time Series Data

Author

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  • Masafumi Kozuka

    (Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University)

Abstract

This paper examines the influences of policy duration effects and quantitative monetary easing policy (QMEP) implemented by the Bank of Japan from 2001-2006 on economic growth toward future periods. We employed a simple equation with the term spread explaining economic growth, and obtained the following results. The positive effects of the term spread on economic growth over the subsequent 21 and 24 months decreased in 2001. And the estimated coefficients on term spread were negative and significant after the shift in both cases. Thus, we conclude that the QMEP and policy duration effects in the 2000s aided economic growth in Japan to some extent.

Suggested Citation

  • Masafumi Kozuka, 2014. "Policy Duration Effects, Quantitative Monetary Easing Policy and Economic Growth: Evidence from Japanese Time Series Data," Discussion Papers 1410, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
    • Handle: RePEc:koe:wpaper:1410
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    File URL: http://www.econ.kobe-u.ac.jp/RePEc/koe/wpaper/2014/1410.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-836, July.
    2. David L. Reifschneider & John C. Williams, 2000. "Three lessons for monetary policy in a low-inflation era," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, pages 936-978.
    3. Ghysels, Eric & Guay, Alain & Hall, Alastair, 1998. "Predictive tests for structural change with unknown breakpoint," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 82(2), pages 209-233, February.
    4. Yuzo Honda & Yoshihiro Kuroki & Minoru Tachibana, 2007. "An Injection Of Base Money At Zero Interest Rates: Empirical Evidence From The Japanese Experience 2001-2006," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 07-08, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    5. Masahiko Shibamoto, 2007. "An Analysis Of Monetary Policy Shocks In Japan: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive Approach," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 58(4), pages 484-503, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Deng, Chuang & Wu, Jian, 2023. "Macroeconomic downside risk and the effect of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    term spread; zero interest rate policy; quantitative monetary easing policy; policy duration effects; economic growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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