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A Characterization of CAT Bond Performance Indices

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  • Denis-Alexandre Trottier
  • Van Son Lai
  • Frédéric Godin

Abstract

Although several works have highlighted the diversification benefits of catastrophe (CAT) bond funds as well as the attracting returns they offer, there is a lack in the literature regarding what econometric models are suitable to predict the risks of such funds. This note contributes by offering such a statistical description of the dynamics of CAT bond indices total returns series. The approach is based on a regime-switching model that parsimoniously accounts for the leptokurtosis, skewness, and autocorrelation of returns, as well as for (G)ARCH effects, seasonality, and the sudden impact of natural disasters. Estimation and specification testing is carried out for four weekly indices tracking the performance of different CAT bond sectors; this allows identifying several salient stylized features for the returns dynamics of this asset class.

Suggested Citation

  • Denis-Alexandre Trottier & Van Son Lai & Frédéric Godin, 2020. "A Characterization of CAT Bond Performance Indices," Working Papers 2020-008, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipg:wpaper:2020-008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Karl Demers‐Bélanger & Van Son Lai, 2020. "Diversification benefits of cat bonds: An in‐depth examination," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(5), pages 165-228, December.
    2. Peter Carayannopoulos & Olga Kanj & M. Fabricio Perez, 2022. "Pricing dynamics in the market for catastrophe bonds," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(1), pages 172-202, January.
    3. Drobetz, Wolfgang & Schröder, Henning & Tegtmeier, Lars, 2020. "The role of catastrophe bonds in an international multi-asset portfolio: Diversifier, hedge, or safe haven?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).

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