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Taming Financial Development to Reduce Crises

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  • Sami Ben Naceur
  • Bertrand Candelon
  • Quentin Lajaunie

Abstract

This paper assesses whether and how financial development triggers the occurrence of banking crises. It builds on a database that includes financial development as well as financial access, depth and efficiency for almost 100 countries. Through estimation of a dynamic logit panel model, it appears that financial development, from an institutional dimension and to a lesser extent from a market dimension, triggers financial instability within a one- to two-year horizon. Additionally, whereas financial access is destabilizing for advanced countries, it is stabilizing for emerging and low income ones. Both results have important implications for macroprudential policies and financial regulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Sami Ben Naceur & Bertrand Candelon & Quentin Lajaunie, 2019. "Taming Financial Development to Reduce Crises," IMF Working Papers 2019/094, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/094
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; banking crisis; banking; crisis; Financial Development; Banking crises; Regulation; banking instability; database of leaven; bank crisis predictor; banking crisis variable; banking crisis early warning indicator; banking crisis database; probability of a banking crisis; Financial sector development; Logit models; Systemic crises; Global;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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