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Credit Conditions and Recoveries from Recessions Associated with Financial Crises

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  • Mr. Prakash Kannan

Abstract

Recoveries from recessions associated with a financial crisis tend to be sluggish. In this paper, we present evidence that stressed credit conditions are an important factor constraining the pace of recovery. In particular, using industry-level data, we find that industries relying more on external finance grow more slowly than other industries during recoveries from recessions associated with financial crises. Additional tests, based on establishment size, on alternative definitions of financial crises, and on corporate-government interest rate spreads, support the findings. Moreover, for subsets of industries where financial frictions are more severe, we find much stronger differential growth effects.

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  • Mr. Prakash Kannan, 2010. "Credit Conditions and Recoveries from Recessions Associated with Financial Crises," IMF Working Papers 2010/083, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/083
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    2. Eleni Iliopulos & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2012. "L'intermédiation financière dans l'analyse macroéconomique : le défi de la crise," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 451(1), pages 91-130.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2013. "Greece: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2013/155, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Martin Bijsterbosch & Tatjana Dahlhaus, 2015. "Key features and determinants of credit-less recoveries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1245-1269, December.
    5. Antonio FORTE, 2011. "Italy After The Crisis: A Case Of Recoveryless Credit Growth," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 2(2), pages 132-140.
    6. Jaanika Meriküll, 2015. "Household Borrowing During a Creditless Recovery," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(5), pages 1051-1068, September.
    7. Theoharry Grammatikos & Robert Vermeulen, 2014. "The 2007--2009 financial crisis: changing market dynamics and the impact of credit supply and aggregate demand sensitivity," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(8), pages 895-911, March.
    8. Hermann Remsperger & Stephen G. Cecchetti & Stefan Ingves & Alberto Giovannini & Jens Weidmann & Alexandros Vardoulakis & Stefano Neri & Jürgen Stark & Elod Takáts & Christian Upper & Claudia M. Buch , 2012. "The ESRB at 1," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 2012/4 edited by Stefan Gerlach & Ernest Gnan & Jens Ulbrich, May.
    9. Elod Takáts & Christian Upper, 2013. "Credit and growth after financial crises," BIS Working Papers 416, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Selim Elekdag & Yiqun Wu, 2013. "Rapid Credit Growth in Emerging Markets: Boon or Boom-Bust?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(5), pages 45-62, September.
    11. Mr. Selim A Elekdag & Mr. Yiqun Wu, 2011. "Rapid Credit Growth: Boon or Boom-Bust?," IMF Working Papers 2011/241, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Mr. Julien Allard & Mr. Rodolphe Blavy, 2011. "Market Phoenixes and Banking Ducks Are Recoveries Faster in Market-Based Financial Systems?," IMF Working Papers 2011/213, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Leandro Medina, 2012. "Spring Forward or Fall Back? The Post-Crisis Recovery of Firms," IMF Working Papers 2012/292, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Helbling, Thomas & Huidrom, Raju & Kose, M. Ayhan & Otrok, Christopher, 2011. "Do credit shocks matter? A global perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 340-353, April.
    15. repec:hal:psewpa:halshs-00744047 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Mr. Abdul d Abiad & Mr. Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Ms. Grace B Li, 2011. "Creditless Recoveries," IMF Working Papers 2011/058, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Grégory Levieuge, 2017. "Explaining and forecasting bank loans. Good times and crisis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(8), pages 823-843, February.
    18. Andrzej Wojtyna, 2013. "Kontrowersje wokół charakteru ożywienia po kryzysie finansowym i recesji," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 11-12, pages 5-21.
    19. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Republic of Latvia: Selected Issues Paper," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/172, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Gary B. Gorton, 2012. "Some Reflections on the Recent Financial Crisis," NBER Working Papers 18397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Nir Klein, 2014. "Small and Medium Size Enterprises, Credit Supply Shocks, and Economic Recovery in Europe," IMF Working Papers 2014/098, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Mr. Ralph Chami & Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Mr. Adolfo Barajas & Mr. Heiko Hesse, 2010. "Recent Credit Stagnation in the Mena Region: What to Expect? What Can Be Done?," IMF Working Papers 2010/219, International Monetary Fund.

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