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Credit Spreads on Corporate Bonds and the Macroeconomy in Japan

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  • Kiyotaka Nakashima
  • Makoto Saito

Abstract

Using secondary market data on corporate bonds issued in Japan between 1997 and 2005, this paper explores the determinants of the credit spread of corporate bond rates over interest swap rates. We find that credit spreads properly reflect financial factors at the firm level, including debt-to-equity ratios, volatility, and maturity, particularly for longer-term bonds. In addition, an economy-wide factor common among bond issues unable to be captured by firm-level factors, plays an important role in determining credit spreads, and these economy-wide effects to a great extent cancel out firm-level factors for some subsample periods. We also identify possible factors responsible for the significant economy-wide effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiyotaka Nakashima & Makoto Saito, 2009. "Credit Spreads on Corporate Bonds and the Macroeconomy in Japan," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd09-068, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hst:ghsdps:gd09-068
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    File URL: http://gcoe.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/research/discussion/2008/pdf/gd09-068.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi & Takaoka, Sumiko, 2017. "The term structure of credit spreads and business cycle in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 27-36.
    2. Kenji Suganuma & Yoichi Ueno, 2018. "The Effects of the Bank of Japan's Corporate and Government Bond Purchases on Credit Spreads," IMES Discussion Paper Series 18-E-04, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    3. Takanori Tanaka, 2011. "Corporate Governance and the Costs of Public Debt Financing: Evidence from Japan," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 11-35, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    4. Nakashima, Kiyotaka & Takahashi, Koji, 2018. "The real effects of bank-driven termination of relationships: Evidence from loan-level matched data," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 46-65.
    5. Verner, Robert & Tkáč, Michal, 2023. "On the predictability of bonds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    6. Satoshi Tezuka & Yoichi Matsubayashi, 2018. "Credit Spread, Financial Market and Real Activities under Financial Instability: Empirical Evidence with MS-SBVAR," Discussion Papers 1812, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
    7. Nakashima, Kiyotaka & Takahashi, Koji, 2020. "The time has come for banks to say goodbye: New evidence on bank roles and duration effects in relationship terminations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    8. Inoue, Hitoshi & Kani, Masayo & Nakashima, Kiyotaka, 2019. "The Dynamic Effect of Uncertainty on Corporate Investment through Internal and External Financing," MPRA Paper 98533, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Takeshi Kobayashi, 2021. "Common Factors in the Term Structure of Credit Spreads and Predicting the Macroeconomy in Japan," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-12, April.
    10. Naoto Higashio & Takahiro Hirakawa & Ryo Nagaushi & Shinsuke Ohyama & Atsushi Takanashi, 2016. "Determinants of Launch Spreads on EM USD-Denominated Corporate Bonds," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 16-E-13, Bank of Japan.
    11. Tanaka, Takanori, 2014. "Corporate governance and the cost of public debt financing: Evidence from Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 315-335.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit spreads; corporate bonds; market liquidity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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