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Removing Appraisal Bias from a Repeat-Transactions House Price Index – A Basic Approach

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  • Andrew Leventis

    (Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight)

Abstract

Responding to concerns that house price appraisals are biased measures of true home values, some researchers have suggested that repeat-transaction house price indices should be calculated using only price data from home purchases. This paper builds on previous literature and presents an alternative way of inoculating such indices from appraisal bias. Trends in and estimation precision for the "bias-neutral" index are compared against the properties of a purchase-only index, as well as the basic OFHEO house price index. Empirical estimates for three states and two metropolitan areas indicate that the "bias-neutral" index closely tracks the other two indices, while benefiting from relatively small standard errors.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Leventis, 2006. "Removing Appraisal Bias from a Repeat-Transactions House Price Index – A Basic Approach," FHFA Staff Working Papers 06-01, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
    • Handle: RePEc:hfa:wpaper:06-01
    as

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    File URL: https://www.fhfa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-03/2006-02_workingpaper_06-1_n508.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    5. Jesse M. Abraham & William S. Schauman, 1991. "New Evidence on Home Prices from Freddie Mac Repeat Sales," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 19(3), pages 333-352, September.
    6. Wang, Ferdinand T. & Zorn, Peter M., 1997. "Estimating House Price Growth with Repeat Sales Data: What's the Aim of the Game?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 93-118, June.
    7. Mark G. Dotzour, 1988. "Quantifying Estimation Bias in Residential Appraisal," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 3(3), pages 1-11.
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    Cited by:

    1. Randal Verbrugge, 2008. "The Puzzling Divergence Of Rents And User Costs, 1980–2004," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 54(4), pages 671-699, December.
    2. Garner, Thesia I. & Verbrugge, Randal, 2009. "Reconciling user costs and rental equivalence: Evidence from the US consumer expenditure survey," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 172-192, September.
    3. Jéssica Fernanda Castaño Lavado & Miguel Ángel Morales Mosquera, 2015. "Revisión Metodológica de Índices de Precios de la Vivienda," Borradores de Economia 13317, Banco de la Republica.
    4. Diewert, Erwin, 2007. "The Paris OECD-IMF Workshop on Real Estate Price Indexes: Conclusions and Future Directions," Economics working papers diewert-07-01-03-08-12-12, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 31 Jan 2007.
    5. de Vries, Paul & de Haan, Jan & van der Wal, Erna & Mariën, Gust, 2009. "A house price index based on the SPAR method," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 214-223, September.
    6. Gao, Andre & Lin, Zhenguo & Na, Carrie Fangzhou, 2009. "Housing market dynamics: Evidence of mean reversion and downward rigidity," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 256-266, September.
    7. Leonard I. Nakamura, 2010. "How much is that home really worth? Appraisal bias and house-price uncertainty," Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue Q1, pages 11-22.

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