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A Prospect-Theoretical Interpretation of Momentum Returns

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  • Menkhoff, Lukas
  • Schmeling, Maik

Abstract

The puzzling evidence of seemingly high momentum returns is related to an understanding of risk as a simple covariance. If we consider, however, risk in higher-order statistical moments, momentum returns appear less advantageous. Thus, a prospect-theoretical assessment of US stock momentum returns provides a possible direction for explaining this puzzle.

Suggested Citation

  • Menkhoff, Lukas & Schmeling, Maik, 2006. "A Prospect-Theoretical Interpretation of Momentum Returns," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-335, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    • Handle: RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-335
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    Cited by:

    1. Gregory-Allen, Russell & Lu, Helen & Stork, Philip, 2012. "Asymmetric extreme tails and prospective utility of momentum returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 295-297.
    2. Mouna Abdelhédi-Zouch & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes & Younès Boujelbène, 2015. "Volatility Spillover And Investor Sentiment: Subprime Crisis," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 11(2), pages 83-101.
    3. Maik Schmeling, 2011. "Consumption, money and excess returns," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(20), pages 2559-2563.
    4. Noureddine Kouaissah & Amin Hocine, 2021. "Forecasting systemic risk in portfolio selection: The role of technical trading rules," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 708-729, July.
    5. Wang, Junbo & Wu, Chunchi & Zhong, Xiaoling, 2021. "Prospect theory and stock returns: Evidence from foreign share markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    6. Zhong, Xiaoling & Wang, Junbo, 2018. "Prospect theory and corporate bond returns: An empirical study," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 25-48.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    momentum trading; market efficiency; prospect theory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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