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Comments on : Nonparametric Tail Risk, Stock Returns and the Macroeconomy

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  • Scaillet, Olivier
  • Trojani, Fabio
  • Camponovo, Lorenzo

Abstract

This paper contains comments on Nonparametric Tail Risk, Stock Returns and the Macroeconomy.

Suggested Citation

  • Scaillet, Olivier & Trojani, Fabio & Camponovo, Lorenzo, 2016. "Comments on : Nonparametric Tail Risk, Stock Returns and the Macroeconomy," Working Papers unige:84999, University of Geneva, Geneva School of Economics and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:gnv:wpgsem:unige:84999
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. O. Scaillet, 2004. "Nonparametric Estimation and Sensitivity Analysis of Expected Shortfall," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(1), pages 115-129, January.
    2. Bollerslev, Tim & Todorov, Viktor & Xu, Lai, 2015. "Tail risk premia and return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 113-134.
    3. Yuichi Kitamura & Taisuke Otsu & Kirill Evdokimov, 2013. "Robustness, Infinitesimal Neighborhoods, and Moment Restrictions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(3), pages 1185-1201, May.
    4. Andrea Buraschi & Fabio Trojani & Andrea Vedolin, 2014. "When Uncertainty Blows in the Orchard: Comovement and Equilibrium Volatility Risk Premia," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(1), pages 101-137, February.
    5. John Y. Campbell & Samuel B. Thompson, 2008. "Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1509-1531, July.
    6. Goncalves, Silvia & White, Halbert, 2002. "Maximum Likelihood and the Bootstrap for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt8hx21540, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    7. Caio Almeida & Kym Ardison & René Garcia & Jose Vicente, 2017. "Nonparametric Tail Risk, Stock Returns, and the Macroeconomy," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 333-376.
    8. Paul Schneider & Fabio Trojani, 2015. "Divergence and the Price of Uncertainty," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-60, Swiss Finance Institute.
    9. Bryan Kelly & Hao Jiang, 2014. "Editor's Choice Tail Risk and Asset Prices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(10), pages 2841-2871.
    10. Gagliardini, Patrick & Trojani, Fabio & Urga, Giovanni, 2005. "Robust GMM tests for structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 129(1-2), pages 139-182.
    11. Amit Goyal & Ivo Welch, 2003. "Predicting the Equity Premium with Dividend Ratios," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(5), pages 639-654, May.
    12. Hong, H. & Scaillet, O., 2006. "A fast subsampling method for nonlinear dynamic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 557-578, August.
    13. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-856, July.
    14. Fermanian, Jean-David & Scaillet, Olivier, 2005. "Sensitivity analysis of VaR and Expected Shortfall for portfolios under netting agreements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 927-958, April.
    15. Goncalves, Silvia & White, Halbert, 2004. "Maximum likelihood and the bootstrap for nonlinear dynamic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 199-219, March.
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    1. Philippe Bernard & Najat El Mekkaoui De Freitas & Bertrand B. Maillet, 2022. "A financial fraud detection indicator for investors: an IDeA," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 809-832, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tail Risk; Risk Factor; Risk-Neutral Probability; Prediction of Market Returns; Economic Predictability.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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