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All at Once! A Comprehensive and Tractable Semi-Parametric Method to Elicit Prospect Theory Components

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  • Yao Thibaut Kpegli

    (Univ Lyon, Université Lyon 2, GATE UMR 5824, F-69130 Ecully, France)

  • Brice Corgnet

    (Univ Lyon, Emlyon Business School, GATE UMR 5824, F-69130 Ecully, France)

  • Adam Zylbersztejn

    (Univ Lyon, Université Lyon 2, GATE UMR 5824, F-69130 Ecully, France)

Abstract

Eliciting all the components of prospect theory –curvature of the utility function, weighting function and loss aversion– remains an open empirical challenge. We develop a semi-parametric method that keeps the tractability of parametric methods while providing more precise estimates. Using the data of Tversky and Kahneman (1992), we revisit their main parametric results. We reject the convexity of the utility function in the loss domain, find lower probability weighting, and confirm loss aversion. We also report that the probability weighting function does not exhibit duality and equality across domains, in line with cumulative prospect theory and in contrast with original prospect and rank dependent utility theories.

Suggested Citation

  • Yao Thibaut Kpegli & Brice Corgnet & Adam Zylbersztejn, 2020. "All at Once! A Comprehensive and Tractable Semi-Parametric Method to Elicit Prospect Theory Components," Working Papers 2034, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
  • Handle: RePEc:gat:wpaper:2034
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    Cited by:

    1. Yao Thibaut Kpegli, 2023. "Smoothing Spline Method for Measuring Prospect Theory Components," Working Papers 2303, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
    2. Balcombe, Kelvin & Fraser, Iain, 2024. "A Note on an Alternative Approach to Experimental Design of Lottery Prospects," MPRA Paper 119743, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Brice Corgnet & Roberto Hernán González, 2023. "You Will not Regret it: On the Practice of Randomized Incentives," Working Papers 2314, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Prospect theory; semi-parametric estimation; risk attitudes; weighting function; loss aversion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior

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