Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation? Evidence from U.S. Cities
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Taylor, John B., 1999.
"The robustness and efficiency of monetary policy rules as guidelines for interest rate setting by the European central bank,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 655-679, June.
- Taylor, J.B., 1998. "The Robustness and Efficiency of Monetary Policy Rules as Guidelines for Interest Rate Setting by European Central Bank," Papers 649, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
- Taylor, John B., 1998. "The Robustness and Efficiency of Monetary Policy Rules as Guidelines for Interest Rate Setting by the European Central Bank," Seminar Papers 649, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
- John H. Cochrane, 2011.
"Determinacy and Identification with Taylor Rules,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 119(3), pages 565-615.
- John H. Cochrane, 2007. "Determinacy and Identification with Taylor Rules," NBER Working Papers 13410, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- John H. Cochrane, 2007. "Determinacy and Identification with Taylor Rules," NBER Working Papers 13409, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- A. W. Phillips, 1958. "The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 25(100), pages 283-299, November.
- John B. Taylor, 1999. "Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number tayl99-1, July.
- Andrew Atkeson & Lee E. Ohanian, 2001. "Are Phillips curves useful for forecasting inflation?," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, vol. 25(Win), pages 2-11.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Barnichon, Regis & Mesters, Geert, 2021.
"The Phillips multiplier,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 689-705.
- Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2019. "The Phillips multiplier," Economics Working Papers 1632, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2019. "The Phillips Multiplier," Working Papers 1070, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Barnichon, Regis & Mesters, Geert, 2019. "The Phillips Multiplier," CEPR Discussion Papers 13480, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, 2019.
"Geographic Cross-Sectional Fiscal Spending Multipliers: What Have We Learned?,"
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(2), pages 1-34, May.
- Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, 2017. "Geographic Cross-Sectional Fiscal Spending Multipliers: What Have We Learned?," NBER Working Papers 23577, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020.
"What's Up with the Phillips Curve?,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(1 (Spring), pages 301-373.
- Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," Working Paper Series 2435, European Central Bank.
- William Chen & Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s Up with the Phillips Curve?," Liberty Street Economics 20200918a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Primiceri, Giorgio & Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What's up with the Phillips Curve?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers 27003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Siena Daniele, & Zago Riccardo., 2021. "Job Polarization and the Flattening of the Price Phillips Curve," Working papers 819, Banque de France.
- Antonio J., Garzón & Luis A., Hierro, 2022. "Inflation, oil prices and exchange rates. The Euro’s dampening effect," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 130-146.
- Albuquerque, Bruno & Baumann, Ursel, 2017.
"Will US inflation awake from the dead? The role of slack and non-linearities in the Phillips curve,"
Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 247-271.
- Baumann, Ursel & Albuquerque, Bruno, 2017. "Will US inflation awake from the dead? The role of slack and non-linearities in the Phillips curve," Working Paper Series 2001, European Central Bank.
- Faryna, Oleksandr & Pham, Tho & Talavera, Oleksandr & Tsapin, Andriy, 2022. "Wage and unemployment: Evidence from online job vacancy data," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 52-70.
- Terry J. Fitzgerald & Callum J. Jones & Mariano Kulish & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2020.
"Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation?,"
Staff Report
614, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Terry Fitzgerald & Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2022. "Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation?," Working Papers 159, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, 2017.
"Geographic Cross-Sectional Fiscal Multipliers: What Have We Learned?,"
Working Paper
458091, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, 2017. "Geographic Cross-Sectional Fiscal Multipliers: What Have We Learned?," 2017 Meeting Papers 1214, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Hooper, Peter & Mishkin, Frederic S. & Sufi, Amir, 2020. "Prospects for inflation in a high pressure economy: Is the Phillips curve dead or is it just hibernating?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 26-62.
- Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2017. "Has the Wage Phillips Curve Gone Dormant?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Matthew Rognlie, 2019. "Comment on "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2019, volume 34, pages 267-279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Carlos Medel, 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy,"
Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," MPRA Paper 78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf Kirsten, 2016. "Countercyclical versus Procyclical Taylor Principles," EconStor Preprints 129796, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Cochrane, John H., 2014.
"Monetary policy with interest on reserves,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 74-108.
- John H. Cochrane, 2014. "Monetary Policy with Interest on Reserves," NBER Working Papers 20613, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2021.
"Hopf Bifurcation From New-Keynesian Taylor Rule To Ramsey Optimal Policy,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(8), pages 2204-2236, December.
- Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2020. "Hopf Bifurcation from New-Keynesian Taylor Rule to Ramsey Optimal Policy," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue Forthcomi.
- Jean-Bernard, Chatelain & Kirsten, Ralf, 2017. "Hopf Bifurcation from new-Keynesian Taylor rule to Ramsey Optimal Policy," MPRA Paper 79244, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jean-Bernard Chatelain & Kirsten Ralf, 2020. "Hopf Bifurcation from New-Keynesian Taylor Rule to Ramsey Optimal Policy," Working Papers halshs-01549929, HAL.
- Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2017. "Hopf Bifurcation from new-Keynesian Taylor rule to Ramsey Optimal Policy," EconStor Preprints 158001, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Jean-Bernard Chatelain & Kirsten Ralf, 2020. "Hopf Bifurcation from new-Keynesian Taylor rule to Ramsey Optimal Policy," Papers 2002.07479, arXiv.org.
- Jean-Bernard Chatelain & Kirsten Ralf, 2021. "Hopf Bifurcation from new-Keynesian Taylor rule to Ramsey Optimal Policy," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-01527872, HAL.
- Jean-Bernard Chatelain & Kirsten Ralf, 2020. "Hopf Bifurcation from New-Keynesian Taylor Rule to Ramsey Optimal Policy," PSE Working Papers halshs-01549929, HAL.
- Jean-Bernard Chatelain & Kirsten Ralf, 2021. "Hopf Bifurcation from new-Keynesian Taylor rule to Ramsey Optimal Policy," Post-Print hal-01527872, HAL.
- Fuhrer, Jeffrey C., 2010.
"Inflation Persistence,"
Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 9, pages 423-486,
Elsevier.
- Jeffrey C. Fuhrer & George R. Moore, 1993. "Inflation persistence," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
- Jeffrey C. Fuhrer & George R. Moore, 1993. "Inflation persistence," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jeff Fuhrer & George Moore, 1995. "Inflation Persistence," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(1), pages 127-159.
- Jeffrey C. Fuhrer & George R. Moore, 1993. "Inflation persistence," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 93-17, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 2009. "Inflation persistence," Working Papers 09-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Christopher G. Gibbs, 2017.
"Forecast combination, non-linear dynamics, and the macroeconomy,"
Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 63(3), pages 653-686, March.
- Christopher Gibbs, 2015. "Forecast Combination, Non-linear Dynamics, and the Macroeconomy," Discussion Papers 2015-05, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," MPRA Paper 67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Teryoshin, Yevgeniy, 2023. "Historical performance of rule-like monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- John H. Cochrane, 2011.
"Determinacy and Identification with Taylor Rules,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 119(3), pages 565-615.
- John H. Cochrane, 2007. "Determinacy and Identification with Taylor Rules," NBER Working Papers 13410, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- John H. Cochrane, 2007. "Determinacy and Identification with Taylor Rules," NBER Working Papers 13409, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sophocles Mavroeidis & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock, 2014.
"Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(1), pages 124-188, March.
- Sophocles Mavroeidis & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock, "undated". "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Paper 84656, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Mavroeidis, Sophocles & Plagborg-Moller, Mikkel & Stock, James H., 2014. "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Scholarly Articles 22795845, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Terry J. Fitzgerald & Callum J. Jones & Mariano Kulish & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2020.
"Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation?,"
Staff Report
614, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Terry Fitzgerald & Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2022. "Is There a Stable Relationship between Unemployment and Future Inflation?," Working Papers 159, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2024.
"Time-varying parameters in monetary policy rules: a GMM approach,"
Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 51(9), pages 148-176, January.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "Time-Varying Parameters in Monetary Policy Rules: A GMM Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 10451, CESifo.
- McCallum, Bennett T., 2009.
"Inflation determination with Taylor rules: Is new-Keynesian analysis critically flawed?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(8), pages 1101-1108, November.
- Bennett T. McCallum, 2008. "Inflation Determination with Taylor Rules: Is New Keynesian Analysis Critically Flawed?," NBER Working Papers 14534, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francisco Rosende, 2009. "La Macroeconomía y la Crisis: ¿La Crisis de la Macroeconomía?," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 46(134), pages 161-182.
- John H. Cochrane, 2017. "Michelson-Morley, Fisher, and Occam: The Radical Implications of Stable Quiet Inflation at the Zero Bound," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017, volume 32, pages 113-226, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francisco Rosende & Matías Tapia, 2015.
"Monetary Policy in Chile: Institutions, Objectives,and Instruments,"
Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Ricardo J. Caballero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (ed.),Economic Policies in Emerging-Market Economies Festschrift in Honor of Vittorio Corbo, edition 1, volume 21, chapter 12, pages 263-307,
Central Bank of Chile.
- Francisco Rosende & Matías Tapia, 2012. "Monetary Policy in Chile: Institutions, Objectives, and Instruments," Documentos de Trabajo 414, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
- Akosah, Nana Kwame & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Schaling, Eric, 2020. "Testing for asymmetry in monetary policy rule for small-open developing economies: Multiscale Bayesian quantile evidence from Ghana," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
- Stefano d'Addona & Ilaria Musumeci, 2012. "The British opt-out from the European Monetary Union: empirical evidence from monetary policy rules," CEIS Research Paper 225, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 26 Mar 2012.
- Orphanides, Athanasios & Williams, John C., 2008.
"Learning, expectations formation, and the pitfalls of optimal control monetary policy,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 80-96, October.
- Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2008. "Learning, Expectations Formation, And The Pitfalls Of Optimal Control Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2008-17, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2008. "Learning, Expectations Formation, and the Pitfalls of Optimal Control Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2008-3, Central Bank of Cyprus.
- Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2008. "Learning, expectations formation and the pitfalls of optimal control monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2008-05, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Jess Benhabib & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe, 2003.
"Backward-looking interest-rate rules, interest-rate smoothing, and macroeconomic instability,"
Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, pages 1379-1423.
- Jess Benhabib & Stephanie Schitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe, 2002. "Backward-Looking Interest-Rate Rules, Interest-Rate Smoothing, and Macroeconomic Instability," PIER Working Paper Archive 03-005, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 14 Feb 2003.
- Jess Behabib & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe, 2003. "Backward-Looking Interest-Rate Rules, Interest-Rate Smoothing, and Macroeconomic Instability," NBER Working Papers 9558, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jess Benhabib & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe, 2003. "Backward-Looking Interest-Rate Rules, Interest-Rate Smoothing, and Macroeconomic Instability," Departmental Working Papers 200304, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Jess Benhabib & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe, 2003. "Backward-looking interest-rate rules, interest-rate smoothing, and macroeconomic instability," Working Papers 03-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Benhabib, Jess & Uribe, MartÃn & Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, 2003. "Backward-Looking Interest Rate Rules, Interest Rate Smoothing and Macroeconomic Instability," CEPR Discussion Papers 3928, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
More about this item
Keywords
Endogenous monetary policy; stability of the Phillips curve;JEL classification:
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-CBA-2014-07-21 (Central Banking)
- NEP-MAC-2014-07-21 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-URE-2014-07-21 (Urban and Real Estate Economics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedmwp:713. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kate Hansel (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cfrbmus.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.