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Supervisory Stringency, Payout Restrictions, and Bank Equity Prices

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Abstract

I study investor responses to the 2020 bank stress tests that included restrictions on shareholder payouts. I find that banks subject to the stress tests and payout restrictions experienced both immediate and persistently lower excess stock price returns. In the cross-section, I find that excess stock returns declined with bank size but cannot otherwise be explained by pre-pandemic bank or payout characteristics, suggesting that investors penalized banks likely to experience greater regulatory scrutiny. However, the excess stock return penalties are smaller than those previously estimated in the literature examining voluntary payout reductions that signal bank distress. The results show that using supervisory discretion to take preventative actions during a crisis is less costly than waiting to take actions when banks are distressed.

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  • W. Blake Marsh, 2022. "Supervisory Stringency, Payout Restrictions, and Bank Equity Prices," Research Working Paper RWP 22-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedkrw:93664
    DOI: 10.18651/RWP2022-01
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank payout policy; Stress testing; Bank supervision;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G35 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Payout Policy

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