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A Hitchhiker’s Guide to Empirical Macro Models

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  • Fabio Canova
  • Filippo Ferroni

Abstract

This paper describes a package which uses MATLAB functions and routines to estimate VARs, local projections and other models with classical or Bayesian methods. The toolbox allows a researcher to conduct inference under various prior assumptions on the parameters, to produce point and density forecasts, to measure spillovers and to trace out the causal effect of shocks using a number of identification schemes. The toolbox is equipped to handle missing observations, mixed frequencies and time series with large cross-section information (e.g. panels of VAR and FAVAR). It also contains a number of routines to extract cyclical information and to date business cycles. We describe the methodology employed and implementation of the functions with a number of practical examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2021. "A Hitchhiker’s Guide to Empirical Macro Models," Working Paper Series WP-2021-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 03 Oct 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhwp:93029
    DOI: 10.21033/wp-2021-15
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    Cited by:

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    2. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo Bornacki Mattos, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks on an emerging market economy," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 803-824, April.
    3. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2021. "Bayesian Local Projections," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1348, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    4. Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò & Vella, Eugenia, 2021. "Does immigration grow the pie? Asymmetric evidence from Germany," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    5. Federico Di Pace & Christoph Görtz, 2021. "Monetary Policy, Sectoral Comovement and the Credit Channel," CESifo Working Paper Series 9142, CESifo.
    6. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2020_016 is not listed on IDEAS
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    8. Andrade, Philippe & Ferroni, Filippo, 2021. "Delphic and odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 816-832.
    9. Alina Bobasu & Lucia Quaglietti & Martino Ricci, 2024. "Tracking Global Economic Uncertainty: Implications for the Euro Area," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(2), pages 820-857, June.
    10. Joscha Beckmann & Mariarosaria Comunale, 2020. "Exchange rate fluctuations and the financial channel in emerging economies," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 83, Bank of Lithuania.
    11. Riccardo M. Masolo, 2022. "Mainly Employment: Survey-Based News and the Business Cycle," Discussion Papers 2211, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    12. Lindblad, Annika & Gäddnäs, Niklas, 2024. "Forecasting unemployment in Finland: A flow approach," BoF Economics Review 7/2024, Bank of Finland.
    13. Olli-Matti Laine, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Valuation," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(1), pages 365-416, March.
    14. Di Pace, Federico & Görtz, Christoph, 2021. "Sectoral comovement, monetary policy and the credit channel," Bank of England working papers 925, Bank of England.
    15. Laine, Olli-Matti, 2020. "Monetary policy and stock market valuation," Research Discussion Papers 16/2020, Bank of Finland.
    16. Katheryn N. Russ & Jay C. Shambaugh & Sanjay R. Singh, 2024. "Currency Areas, Labor Markets, and Regional Cyclical Sensitivity," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 152-195, March.
    17. Joscha Beckmann & Mariarosaria Comunale, 2020. "Exchange rate fluctuations and the financial channel in emerging economies," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 83, Bank of Lithuania.
    18. Ignacio Galará, 2023. "A Measure of our Uncertainty: Households’ Inflation Expectation and Information Shocks," Working Papers 273, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    19. Wang, Xueli & Wang, Lei & Zhang, Xuerong & Fan, Fei, 2022. "The spatiotemporal evolution of COVID-19 in China and its impact on urban economic resilience," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    20. Jung, Alexander, 2023. "Are monetary policy shocks causal to bank health? Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    VARs; Local Projections; Bayesian Inference; Identification; Forecasts; Missing Values; Filters and Cycles; MATLAB;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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