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Estimating Impulse Response Functions When the Shock Series Is Observed

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  • Chi-Young Choi
  • Alexander Chudik

Abstract

We compare the finite sample performance of a variety of consistent approaches to estimating Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) in a linear setup when the shock of interest is observed. Although there is no uniformly superior approach, iterated approaches turn out to perform well in terms of root mean-squared error (RMSE) in diverse environments and sample sizes. For smaller sample sizes, parsimonious specifications are preferred over full specifications with all ?relevant? variables.

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  • Chi-Young Choi & Alexander Chudik, 2019. "Estimating Impulse Response Functions When the Shock Series Is Observed," Globalization Institute Working Papers 353, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:feddgw:353
    DOI: 10.24149/gwp353
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Chudik & Georgios Georgiadis, 2022. "Estimation of Impulse Response Functions When Shocks Are Observed at a Higher Frequency Than Outcome Variables," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 965-979, June.
    2. Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-M{o}ller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," Papers 2104.00655, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    3. Bruns, Martin & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2022. "Comparison of local projection estimators for proxy vector autoregressions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    4. Luciana Juvenal, 2020. "Terms-of-Trade Shocks are Not all Alike," IMF Working Papers 2020/280, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Karahan, Cenk C. & Lucey, Brian, 2022. "Oil price shocks and yield curve dynamics in emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 613-623.
    6. Pierre L. Siklos, 2020. "Looking into the Rear-View Mirror: Lessons from Japan for the Eurozone and the U.S?," IMES Discussion Paper Series 20-E-02, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    7. Guerino Ardizzi & Andrea Nobili & Giorgia Rocco, 2020. "A game changer in payment habits: evidence from daily data during a pandemic," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 591, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    8. Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 955-980, March.
    9. Ruth Badru, 2020. "Distribution and Gender Effects on the Path of Economic Growth: Comparative Evidence for Developed, Semi-Industrialized, and Low-Income Agricultural Economies," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_959, Levy Economics Institute.
    10. Chi-Young Choi & Alexander Chudik, 2023. "Mean Group Distributed Lag Estimation of Impulse Response Functions in Large Panels," Globalization Institute Working Papers 423, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 08 May 2024.
    11. Yang, Jialin & Ge, Ying-En & Li, Kevin X., 2022. "Measuring volatility spillover effects in dry bulk shipping market," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 37-47.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Observed shock; impulse response functions; Monte Carlo experiments; Finite sample performance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General

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