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The effectiveness of borrower-based macroprudential policies: a cross-country analysis using an integrated micro-macro simulation model

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  • Giannoulakis, Stelios
  • Forletta, Marco
  • Gross, Marco
  • Tereanu, Eugen

Abstract

This paper evaluates the resilience benefits of borrower-based macroprudential policies—such as LTV, DSTI, or DTI caps—for households and banks in the EU. To that end, we employ a further developed variant of the integrated micro-macro simulation model of Gross and Población (2017). Besides various methodological advances, joint policy caps are now also considered, and the resilience benefits are decomposed across income and wealth categories of borrowing households. Our findings suggest that (1) the resilience of households improves notably as a result of implementing individual and joint policy limits, with joint limits being more than additively effective; (2) borrower-based measures can visibly enhance the quality of bank mortgage portfolios over time, supporting bank solvency ratios; and (3) the policies’ resilience benefits are more pronounced for households located at the lower end of the income and wealth distributions. JEL Classification: C33, E58, G18

Suggested Citation

  • Giannoulakis, Stelios & Forletta, Marco & Gross, Marco & Tereanu, Eugen, 2023. "The effectiveness of borrower-based macroprudential policies: a cross-country analysis using an integrated micro-macro simulation model," Working Paper Series 2795, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20232795
    Note: 3098116
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hempell, Hannah S. & Silva, Fatima & Scalone, Valerio & Cornacchia, Wanda & Di Virgilio, Domenica & Palligkinis, Spyros & Velez, Anatoli Segura & Borkó, Tamás & Espic, Aurélien & Garcia, Salomón & Hei, 2024. "Implications of higher inflation and interest rates for macroprudential policy stance," Occasional Paper Series 358, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Borrower-based macroprudential policy; household micro data and modeling; macro-financial linkages;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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