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Institutional Quality and Capital Inflows: Evidence and Theory

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  • Mengus, Eric
  • Challe, Edouard
  • Lopez, Jose Ignacio

Abstract

This paper analyzes, empirically and theoretically, the link between capital inflows and the quality of economic institutions. Starting with the example of Southern European countries (Spain, Portugal, Italy and Greece), we show that they experienced a significant decline in the quality of their institutions in the run-up to the euro currency, a period of cheap external funding and large capital inflows. We confirm this joint pattern of capital flows and institutional decline in a large panel of countries since the mid-1990s. We then develop an open-economy model of the "soft budget constraint" syndrome wherein persistently cheap funding from abroad (i) raises the prevalence of extractive projects and (ii) expands their support by the (benevolent) government ex post. While the government may in principle limit the prevalence of extractive projects ex ante, we show that the incentives to do so is limited when foreign borrowing is cheap.

Suggested Citation

  • Mengus, Eric & Challe, Edouard & Lopez, Jose Ignacio, 2018. "Institutional Quality and Capital Inflows: Evidence and Theory," HEC Research Papers Series 1247, HEC Paris, revised 19 Jan 2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebg:heccah:1247
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    Cited by:

    1. Melise Jaud & Madina Kukenova & Martin Strieborny, 2021. "Stock Market Liberalizations and Export Dynamics," Working Papers 2021_15, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    2. Deniz Igan & Alexandre R. Lauwers & Damien Puy, 2022. "Capital flows and institutions," BIS Working Papers 994, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Debrun, Xavier & Masuch, Klaus & Ferrero, Guiseppe & Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Ferdinandusse, Marien & von Thadden, Leopold & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Alloza, Mario & Derouen, Chloé & Bańkowski, Krzyszto, 2021. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 273, European Central Bank.
    4. Nemlioglu, Ilayda & Mallick, Sushanta, 2020. "Does multilateral lending aid capital accumulation? Role of intellectual capital and institutional quality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    5. Boateng, Elliot & Agbola, Frank W. & Mahmood, Amir, 2021. "Foreign aid volatility and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does institutional quality matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 111-127.
    6. Fuzhong Chen & Guohai Jiang, 2021. "Investigating the Impact of Institutional Quality on FDI: Are There Promotional Effects in Economic Integration Regions?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-16, October.
    7. Masuch, Klaus & Anderton, Robert & Setzer, Ralph & Benalal, Nicholai, 2018. "Structural policies in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 210, European Central Bank.
    8. Okunade, Solomon O. & Ajisafe, Rufus A., 2021. "Nexus among Financial Openness Shocks, Institutional Development and Total Factor Productivity in Africa: A Panel SVAR Analysis," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 10(1), December.
    9. Faheem Ur Rehman & József Popp & Ejaz Ahmad & Muhammad Asif Khan & Zoltán Lakner, 2021. "Asymmetric and Symmetric Link between Quality of Institutions and Sectorial Foreign Direct Investment Inflow in India: A Fresh Insight Using Simulated Dynamic ARDL Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-18, December.
    10. Zunaira Aman & Brigitte Granville & Sushanta K. Mallick & Ilayda Nemlioglu, 2024. "Does greater financial openness promote external competitiveness in emerging markets? The role of institutional quality," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 486-510, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Institutions; current account;

    JEL classification:

    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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