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An anticipative Markov modulated market

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  • D'Auria, Bernardo
  • Salmerón Garrido, José Antonio

Abstract

A Markovian modulation captures the trend in the market and influences the market coefficients accordingly. The different scenarios presented by the market are modeled as the distinct states of a discrete-time Markov chain. In our paper, we assume the existence of such modulation in a market and, as a novelty, we assume that it can be anticipative with respect to the future of the Brownian motion that drives the dynamics of the risky asset. By employing these own techniques of enlargement of filtrations, we solve an optimal portfolio utility problem in both a complete and an incomplete market. Many examples of anticipative Markov chains are presented for which we compute the additional gain of the investor who has a more accurate information

Suggested Citation

  • D'Auria, Bernardo & Salmerón Garrido, José Antonio, 2022. "An anticipative Markov modulated market," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 34083, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    • Handle: RePEc:cte:wsrepe:34083
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    References listed on IDEAS

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