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Inequality and Business Cycles

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  • Bilbiie, Florin
  • Primiceri, Giorgio
  • Tambalotti, Andrea

Abstract

We quantify the connection between inequality and business cycles in a medium-scale New Keynesian model with tractable household heterogeneity, estimated with aggregate and cross-sectional data. We find that inequality substantially amplifies cyclical fluctuations. The primary source of this amplification is cyclical precautionary saving behavior. Savers reduce their consumption to insure themselves against the idiosyncratic risk of large income drops, which rises in recessions.

Suggested Citation

  • Bilbiie, Florin & Primiceri, Giorgio & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2023. "Inequality and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 18344, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:18344
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    2. Dusan Stojanovic, 2023. "Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Implications for Income and Wealth Inequality," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp760, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.

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    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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