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The Savings-Inflation Puzzle

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  • Burkhard Heer
  • Bernd Süssmuth

Abstract

We find that inflation did not unanimously decrease savings in the US during the postwar period. This result is puzzling as it contradicts the implications of most monetary general equilibrium models.

Suggested Citation

  • Burkhard Heer & Bernd Süssmuth, 2006. "The Savings-Inflation Puzzle," CESifo Working Paper Series 1645, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_1645
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stockman, Alan C., 1981. "Anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash in-advance economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 387-393.
    2. Heer, Burkhard & Sussmuth, Bernd, 2007. "Effects of inflation on wealth distribution: Do stock market participation fees and capital income taxation matter?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 277-303, January.
    3. Jones, Larry E. & Manuelli, Rodolfo E., 1995. "Growth and the effects of inflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 19(8), pages 1405-1428, November.
    4. Mendoza, Enrique G. & Razin, Assaf & Tesar, Linda L., 1994. "Effective tax rates in macroeconomics: Cross-country estimates of tax rates on factor incomes and consumption," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 297-323, December.
    5. Roubini, Nouriel & Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, 1995. "A growth model of inflation, tax evasion, and financial repression," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 275-301, April.
    6. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
    7. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    8. Fischer, S., 1991. "Growth, Macroeconomics, and Development," Working papers 580, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
    9. Kormendi, Roger C. & Meguire, Philip G., 1985. "Macroeconomic determinants of growth: Cross-country evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 141-163, September.
    10. Stanley Fischer, 1991. "Growth, Macroeconomics, and Development," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991, Volume 6, pages 329-379, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Morten O. Ravn & Harald Uhlig, 2002. "On adjusting the Hodrick-Prescott filter for the frequency of observations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(2), pages 371-375.
    12. Den Haan, Wouter J., 1990. "The optimal inflation path in a Sidrauski-type model with uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 389-409, June.
    13. Stanley Fischer, 1991. "Growth, Macroeconomics, and Development," NBER Working Papers 3702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bagus Arya Wirapati & Niken Astria Sakina Kusumawardhani, 2010. "Is ACFTA A Proper Strategy Of Sustainable Poverty Alleviation?: Proof From The Depletion Of Saving Rate," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 13(1), pages 75-102, July.
    2. Bert Van Roosebeke & Ryan Defina, 2022. "How Inflation Impacts Deposit Insurance: Real Coverage and Coverage Ratio," IADI Policy Briefs 6, International Association of Deposit Insurers.
    3. Bagus Arya Wirapati & Niken Astria Sakina Kusumawardhani, 2010. "Apakah ACFTA Merupakan Strategi yang Tepat untuk Penuntasan Kemiskinan yang Berkesinambungan?: Bukti dari Penurunan Tingkat Simpanan," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 13(1), pages 75-102, July.
    4. repec:dau:papers:123456789/179 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Chetan Ghate & Pawan Gopalakrishnan & Anuradha Saha, 2023. "The Great Indian Savings Puzzle," IEG Working Papers 459, Institute of Economic Growth.
    6. Renáta Pitoňáková, 2018. "Private Sector Savings," DANUBE: Law and Economics Review, European Association Comenius - EACO, issue 1, pages 1-17, March.
    7. Grolleau, Gilles & Weber, Christoph, 2024. "The effect of inflation on CO2 emissions: An analysis over the period 1970–2020," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    8. Naeem AKRAM & Muhammad Irfan AKRAM, 2015. "Savings Behaviour In Muslim And Non-Muslim Countries In Context To The Interest Rate," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 25(2), pages 161-177.
    9. Salotti, Simone, 2008. "Global imbalances and household savings: the role of wealth," MPRA Paper 17729, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation; savings; nominal interest taxation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes

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