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Uma avaliação crítica da proposta de conversibilidade plena do real

Author

Listed:
  • Fernando Ferrari-Filho

    (UFRGS)

  • Frederico G. Jayme Jr

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Gilberto Tadeu Lima

    (USP)

  • José Luís Oreiro

    (UFPR)

  • Luiz Fernando de Paula

    (UERJ)

Abstract

This paper aims at discussing critically Pérsio Arida’s proposal of adopting currency convertibility in Brazil. Arida (2003a, 2003b, 2004) points out that currency convertibility would make for lower interest rates in Brazil, as well as for lower interest rates for the Brazilian external bonds. Besides, currency convertibility would stabilize capital flows, as well as exchange rate volatility in Brazil. We argue in this paper that this proposal does not lead necessarily either to less exchange rate volatility, or to lower interest rates. Besides, we close the paper by presenting some alternatives to capital controls in Brazil.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Ferrari-Filho & Frederico G. Jayme Jr & Gilberto Tadeu Lima & José Luís Oreiro & Luiz Fernando de Paula, 2004. "Uma avaliação crítica da proposta de conversibilidade plena do real," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td235, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdp:texdis:td235
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    File URL: https://www.cedeplar.ufmg.br/pesquisas/td/TD%20235.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Luiz Fernando Rodrigues de Paula & Tiago Rinaldi Meyer & JoãoAdelino de Faria Júnior & Manoel Carlos de Castro Pires, 2011. "FinancialLiberalization, Economic Performance and Macroeconomic Stability inBrazil: an assessment of the recent period," Anais do XXXVII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 37th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 100, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. Cesar Rodrigues van der Laan & André Moreira Cunha & Tiago Wickstrom Alves, 2010. "External financial liberalization and growth in emerging countries: a panel data estimation using a new index (1990-2004)," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 307-332, January.
    3. Sérgio F. Meyrelles-Filho & Frederico G. Jayme Jr, 2010. "Capital mobility, balance of payments constraints, and economic growth: an empirical dynamic analysis," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td411, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    4. Ilan Goldfajn & André Minella, 2007. "Capital Flows and Controls in Brazil: What Have We Learned?," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 349-420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Cesar R. Van Der Laan & Marcos Tadeu C. Lélis & André Moreira Cunha, 2016. "External Capital Flows’ Management In The Great Recession: The Brazilian Experience (2007-2013)," Anais do XLII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 42nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 035, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    6. André Nassif, 2007. "National Innovation System And Macroeconomic Policies: Brazil And India In Comparative Perspective," UNCTAD Discussion Papers 184, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    7. Rogério Sobreira Bezerra & José Luis Oreiro & Breno Pascualote Lemos, 2008. "Real Exchange Rate, Capital Mobility and Structural Change in a Modified Kaldorian Model of Cumulative Causation," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807211142220, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    8. Iquiapaza, Robert & Amaral, Hudson, 2007. "Reflexões do Impacto da Corrupção no Desenvolvimento Econômico: Uma Revisão na Economia Brasileira [Reflections on the Impact of Corruption on Economic Development: a literature review in the Brazi," MPRA Paper 1818, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. André Moreira Cunha & Daniela Magalhães Prates & Pedro Perfeito da Silva, 2020. "External Financial Liberalization and Macroeconomic Performance in Emerging Countries: An Empirical Evaluation of the Brazilian Case," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 51(5), pages 1225-1245, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial liberalization; convertibility; Brazilian economy; Brazil;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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