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Entry decisions and adverse selection: an empirical analysis of a local credit markets

Author

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  • Giorgio Gobbi

    (Economics Research Department, Bank of Italy)

  • Francesca Lotti

    (Economics Research Department, Bank of Italy)

Abstract

During the last decades there has been a widespread relaxation of legal entry barriers into the banking industry, with potential benefits for financial integration and competition. Obstacles to banks' geographical and business expansion have been removed and branching has been substantially liberalized. This paper analyzes the determinants of entry decisions into local credit markets using a unique data set before and after deregulation of the Italian banking industry. We estimate an entry model � la Poisson and find evidence that spreads between loan and deposit rates drive entry only for newly chartered banks, but does not affect the decision to open branches of banks operating in other markets. Branching by outside banks is instead positively correlated with business opportunities in the provision of financial services which do not require the acquisition of substantial proprietary information. Both these results are consistent with the hypothesis that in credit markets incumbents have an informational advantage over new entrants.

Suggested Citation

  • Giorgio Gobbi & Francesca Lotti, 2004. "Entry decisions and adverse selection: an empirical analysis of a local credit markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 535, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_535_04
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    Cited by:

    1. Giorgio Gobbi & Roberta Zizza, 2007. "Does the Underground Economy Hold Back Financial Deepening? Evidence from the Italian Credit Market," CEP Discussion Papers dp0789, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    2. Roberto Felici & Marcello Pagnini, 2008. "Distance, Bank Heterogeneity And Entry In Local Banking Markets," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(3), pages 500-534, September.
    3. Bahtiar Usman & Syofriza Syofyan & Lucky Nugroho & Soeharjoto, 2018. "Foreign Bank Penetration And Its Impact On Banking Industries," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 6(1), pages 64-83.
    4. Gregory S. Crawford & Nicola Pavanini & Fabiano Schivardi, 2018. "Asymmetric Information and Imperfect Competition in Lending Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(7), pages 1659-1701, July.
    5. David Loschiavo, 2021. "Household debt and income inequality: Evidence from Italian survey data," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 67(1), pages 61-103, March.
    6. Massimiliano Affinito & Matteo Piazza, 2009. "What Are Borders Made of? An Analysis of Barriers to European Banking Integration," Springer Books, in: Alberto Zazzaro & Michele Fratianni & Pietro Alessandrini (ed.), The Changing Geography of Banking and Finance, edition 1, chapter 9, pages 185-211, Springer.
    7. Maddalena Galardo & Iconio Garrì & Paolo Emilio Mistrulli & Davide Revelli, 2021. "The geography of banking: Evidence from branch closings," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(1), February.
    8. Benjamin Hemingway, 2022. "Banking Regulation and Collateral Screening in a Model of Information Asymmetry," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 61(3), pages 367-405, June.
    9. Gábor Békés & Péter Harasztosi, 2018. "Grid and shake: spatial aggregation and the robustness of regionally estimated elasticities," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 60(1), pages 143-170, January.
    10. Valerio Vacca, 2011. "An unexpected crisis? Looking at pricing effectiveness of different banks," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 814, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    11. Marco Valentini, 2006. "Ristrutturazione del sistema creditizio, piccole e medie imprese e crescita economica nel mezzogiorno," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0065, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    12. Eva Schliephake & Roland Kirstein, 2013. "Strategic Effects of Regulatory Capital Requirements in Imperfect Banking Competition," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(4), pages 675-700, June.
    13. Massimo Libertucci & Francesco Piersante, 2012. "Start-up banks� default and the role of capital," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 890, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. H. Evren Damar, 2009. "A Lesson Learned? Pre‐ And Postcrisis Entry Decisions In Turkish Banking," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 27(1), pages 97-108, January.
    15. Lorenzo Ciari & Riccardo De Bonis, 2011. "Entry decisions after deregulation: the role of incumbents' market power," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 50, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    16. Paolo Emilio Mistrulli & Luca Antelmo & Maddalena Galardo & Iconio Garrì & Dario Pellegrino & Davide Revelli & Vito Savino, 2019. "Why do banks close? The geography of branch pruning," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 540, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    17. Atul Teckchandani, 2016. "Bank Ownership and Lending Behaviours: The Relevance of Community Links," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 168-174, June.
    18. Crawfordy, Gregory S & Pavaniniz, Nicola & Schivardi, Fabiano, 2013. "Asymmetric Information and Imperfect Competition in the Loan Market," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 167, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    19. Bologna, Pierluigi & Cornacchia, Wanda & Galardo, Maddalena, 2022. "Release of a liquidity regulation: What do we learn for credit and house prices?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    20. Paolo Coccorese & Alfonso Pellecchia, 2022. "Deregulation, Entry, and Competition in Local Banking Markets," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 61(2), pages 171-197, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Entry; deregulation; informational barriers; count data; overdispersion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • L22 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Organization and Market Structure
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities

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