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Currency co-movements in Asia-Pacific: the regional role of the renminbi

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  • Daniela Marconi

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

The economic and political influence of China in the Asia-Pacific region is growing and the internationalization of the Chinese currency, the renminbi (RMB), is adding an additional channel of influence. This paper assesses the evolution of exchange rate co-movements against the US dollar within the region and finds that the RMB is exerting a growing influence. The degree of influence varies considerably across currencies. On the one hand, the Indonesian rupiah, the Korean won, the Malaysian ringgit, the Singaporean dollar, and the Taiwanese dollar show very strong co-movements with the RMB, while on the other hand, the Australian and the New Zealand dollars are not affected. Furthermore, the study confirms that Asian currencies move as if driven by the aim of stabilizing the effective exchange rate, thereby avoiding excessive appreciation against the USD.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniela Marconi, 2016. "Currency co-movements in Asia-Pacific: the regional role of the renminbi," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 341, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_341_16
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yin-Wong Cheung & Cho-Hoi Hui & Andrew Tsang, 2016. "The Renminbi Central Parity: An Empirical Investigation," CESifo Working Paper Series 5963, CESifo.
    2. Daniela Marconi & Lorenzo Bencivelli & Anna Marra & Alessandro Schiavone & Raffaele Tartaglia-Polcini, 2016. "Offshore RMB markets in Europe: prospects for greater financial integration between Europe and China," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 334, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Shu, Chang & He, Dong & Cheng, Xiaoqiang, 2015. "One currency, two markets: the renminbi's growing influence in Asia-Pacific," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 163-178.
    4. Barry Eichengreen & Domenico Lombardi, 2017. "RMBI or RMBR? Is the Renminbi Destined to Become a Global or Regional Currency?," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 16(1), pages 35-59, Winter/Sp.
    5. Subramanian Arvind & Kessler Martin, 2013. "The Renminbi Bloc is Here: Asia Down, Rest of the World to Go?1)," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 49-94, August.
    6. Hwee Kwan Chow, 2014. "Is the Renminbi Asia's Dominant Reference Currency? A Reconsideration," China Economic Policy Review (CEPR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(01), pages 1-20.
    7. Richard Baldwin, 2011. "Trade And Industrialisation After Globalisation's 2nd Unbundling: How Building And Joining A Supply Chain Are Different And Why It Matters," NBER Working Papers 17716, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Kawai, Masahiro & Pontines, Victor, 2016. "Is there really a renminbi bloc in Asia?: A modified Frankel–Wei approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 72-97.
    9. Kawai, Masahiro & Pontines, Victor, 2014. "Is There Really a Renminbi Bloc in Asia?," ADBI Working Papers 467, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    10. Gang Fan & Bijun Wang & Yiping Huang, 2013. "Intraregional Cross-holding of Reserve Currencies: A Proposal for Asia to Deal with the Global Reserve Risks," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 21(4), pages 14-35, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniela Marconi & Lorenzo Bencivelli & Anna Marra & Alessandro Schiavone & Raffaele Tartaglia-Polcini, 2016. "Offshore RMB markets in Europe: prospects for greater financial integration between Europe and China," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 334, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Daniela Marconi, "undated". "Currency Co-Movements In Asia-Pacific: The Regional Role Of The Renminbi," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2016_023, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    3. repec:zbw:bofitp:2017_010 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Shekhar Hari Kumar & Vimal Balasubramaniam & Ila Patnaik & Ajay Shah, 2020. "Who cares about the Renminbi?," 2020 Papers pha1373, Job Market Papers.
    5. Hwee K. Chow, 2021. "Connectedness of Asia Pacific forex markets: China's growing influence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3807-3818, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rates; Asia-Pacific; renminbi; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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