IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2411.09657.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Asymptotics of Sum of Heavy-tailed Risks with Copulas

Author

Listed:
  • Fan Yang
  • Yi Zhang

Abstract

We study the tail asymptotics of the sum of two heavy-tailed random variables. The dependence structure is modeled by copulas with the so-called tail order property. Examples are presented to illustrate the approach. Further for each example we apply the main results to obtain the asymptotic expansions for Value-at-Risk of aggregate risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Fan Yang & Yi Zhang, 2024. "Asymptotics of Sum of Heavy-tailed Risks with Copulas," Papers 2411.09657, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2411.09657
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2411.09657
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Juan-Juan Cai & John H. J. Einmahl & Laurens Haan & Chen Zhou, 2015. "Estimation of the marginal expected shortfall: the mean when a related variable is extreme," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 77(2), pages 417-442, March.
    2. Anthony W. Ledford & Jonathan A. Tawn, 1997. "Modelling Dependence within Joint Tail Regions," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(2), pages 475-499.
    3. Alexander J. McNeil & Rüdiger Frey & Paul Embrechts, 2015. "Quantitative Risk Management: Concepts, Techniques and Tools Revised edition," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 2, number 10496.
    4. Tang, Qihe & Tang, Zhaofeng & Yang, Yang, 2019. "Sharp asymptotics for large portfolio losses under extreme risks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(2), pages 710-722.
    5. Christian Genest & Johanna Nešlehová & Jean-François Quessy, 2012. "Tests of symmetry for bivariate copulas," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 64(4), pages 811-834, August.
    6. Genest, Christian & Rivest, Louis-Paul, 1989. "A characterization of gumbel's family of extreme value distributions," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 207-211, August.
    7. Alink, Stan & Lowe, Matthias & V. Wuthrich, Mario, 2004. "Diversification of aggregate dependent risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 77-95, August.
    8. Georg Mainik & Ludger Rüschendorf, 2010. "On optimal portfolio diversification with respect to extreme risks," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 593-623, December.
    9. Achal Bassamboo & Sandeep Juneja & Assaf Zeevi, 2008. "Portfolio Credit Risk with Extremal Dependence: Asymptotic Analysis and Efficient Simulation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 56(3), pages 593-606, June.
    10. Mao, Tiantian & Yang, Fan, 2015. "Risk concentration based on Expectiles for extreme risks under FGM copula," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 429-439.
    11. Anthony W. Ledford & Jonathan A. Tawn, 2003. "Diagnostics for dependence within time series extremes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 65(2), pages 521-543, May.
    12. Abdelaati Daouia & Stéphane Girard & Gilles Stupfler, 2018. "Estimation of tail risk based on extreme expectiles," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 80(2), pages 263-292, March.
    13. Embrechts, Paul & Neslehová, Johanna & Wüthrich, Mario V., 2009. "Additivity properties for Value-at-Risk under Archimedean dependence and heavy-tailedness," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 164-169, April.
    14. Yanchun Zhao & Tiantian Mao & Fan Yang, 2021. "Estimation of the Haezendonck-Goovaerts risk measure for extreme risks," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2021(7), pages 599-622, August.
    15. Mainik, Georg & Embrechts, Paul, 2013. "Diversification in heavy-tailed portfolios: properties and pitfalls," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(1), pages 26-45, March.
    16. Tang, Qihe & Yang, Fan, 2012. "On the Haezendonck–Goovaerts risk measure for extreme risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 217-227.
    17. Hua, Lei & Joe, Harry, 2014. "Strength of tail dependence based on conditional tail expectation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 143-159.
    18. Hua, Lei & Joe, Harry, 2011. "Tail order and intermediate tail dependence of multivariate copulas," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(10), pages 1454-1471, November.
    19. Barbe, Philippe & Fougères, Anne-Laure & Genest, Christian, 2006. "On the Tail Behavior of Sums of Dependent Risks," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(2), pages 361-373, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mao, Tiantian & Stupfler, Gilles & Yang, Fan, 2023. "Asymptotic properties of generalized shortfall risk measures for heavy-tailed risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 173-192.
    2. Li, Haijun & Wu, Peiling, 2013. "Extremal dependence of copulas: A tail density approach," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 99-111.
    3. Mainik Georg & Rüschendorf Ludger, 2012. "Ordering of multivariate risk models with respect to extreme portfolio losses," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 29(1), pages 73-106, March.
    4. Tadese, Mekonnen & Drapeau, Samuel, 2020. "Relative bound and asymptotic comparison of expectile with respect to expected shortfall," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 387-399.
    5. Cui, Hengxin & Tan, Ken Seng & Yang, Fan & Zhou, Chen, 2022. "Asymptotic analysis of portfolio diversification," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 302-325.
    6. Haoyu Chen & Tiantian Mao & Fan Yang, 2024. "Estimation of the Adjusted Standard-deviatile for Extreme Risks," Papers 2411.07203, arXiv.org.
    7. Das Bikramjit & Fasen-Hartmann Vicky, 2019. "Conditional excess risk measures and multivariate regular variation," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 36(1-4), pages 1-23, December.
    8. Ji, Liuyan & Tan, Ken Seng & Yang, Fan, 2021. "Tail dependence and heavy tailedness in extreme risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 282-293.
    9. Chaoubi, Ihsan & Cossette, Hélène & Gadoury, Simon-Pierre & Marceau, Etienne, 2020. "On sums of two counter-monotonic risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 47-60.
    10. John H. J. Einmahl & Fan Yang & Chen Zhou, 2021. "Testing the Multivariate Regular Variation Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 907-919, October.
    11. Coqueret, Guillaume, 2014. "Second order risk aggregation with the Bernstein copula," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 150-158.
    12. Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2018. "Tail expectile process and risk assessment," TSE Working Papers 18-944, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    13. Xia Han & Liyuan Lin & Ruodu Wang, 2022. "Diversification quotients: Quantifying diversification via risk measures," Papers 2206.13679, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    14. Wei, Li & Yuan, Zhongyi, 2016. "The loss given default of a low-default portfolio with weak contagion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 113-123.
    15. Xia Han & Liyuan Lin & Ruodu Wang, 2023. "Diversification quotients based on VaR and ES," Papers 2301.03517, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    16. Han, Xia & Lin, Liyuan & Wang, Ruodu, 2023. "Diversification quotients based on VaR and ES," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 185-197.
    17. Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2017. "Extreme M-quantiles as risk measures: From L1 to Lp optimization," TSE Working Papers 17-841, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    18. Hengxin Cui & Ken Seng Tan & Fan Yang, 2024. "Portfolio credit risk with Archimedean copulas: asymptotic analysis and efficient simulation," Papers 2411.06640, arXiv.org.
    19. Paramahansa Pramanik, 2024. "Dependence on Tail Copula," J, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-26, April.
    20. Asimit, Alexandru V. & Gerrard, Russell, 2016. "On the worst and least possible asymptotic dependence," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 218-234.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2411.09657. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.