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Nexus between Macro Economic Variables and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Inflows in India: Evidence from Time Series Analysis

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  • Hamid Ishfaq

    (MICA-The School of Ideas, Ahmedabad, 380058, India.)

Abstract

India’s FDI situation is presently seeing a steady move with liberalized reforms over the recent couple of years and an alluring investment atmosphere having a beneficial outcome of the inflows. The main purpose of this study is to determine the nexus between macroeconomic variables and Foreign Direct Investment inflows in India from 1980 to 2016, applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) testing approach to co-integration and the Toda Yamamoto Granger Causality test to draw inferences. The empirical results reveal a long-run association between Gross Domestic Product and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows. The findings also demonstrate that the causality test validates the causal relationship between foreign direct investment and all economic variables under study, except the Exchange rate and Consumer price index. However, the Toda Yamamoto test divulges bi-directional causality between Gross Domestic Product and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows. Policy makers are essential to pushing the reform agenda in the local market to pull more FDI into the Indian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamid Ishfaq, 2023. "Nexus between Macro Economic Variables and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Inflows in India: Evidence from Time Series Analysis," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 26(1), pages 55-75.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:zirebs:v:26:y:2023:i:1:p:55-75:n:1003
    DOI: 10.2478/zireb-2023-0003
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI Inflows; Macroeconomic factors; ARDL; Granger causality; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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