Time Will Tell: Recovering Preferences When Choices Are Noisy
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1086/713732
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.
Other versions of this item:
- Alós-Ferrer, Carlos & Fehr, Ernst & Netzer, Nick, 2021. "Time Will Tell: Recovering Preferences When Choices Are Noisy," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 129(6), pages 1828-1877.
- Carlos Alós-Ferrer & Ernst Fehr & Nick Netzer, 2018. "Time Will Tell: Recovering Preferences when Choices Are Noisy," CESifo Working Paper Series 7333, CESifo.
- Alós-Ferrer, Carlos & Fehr, Ernst & Netzer, Nick, 2018. "Time Will Tell: Recovering Preferences When Choices Are Noisy," IZA Discussion Papers 11918, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Carlos Alos-Ferrer & Ernst Fehr & Nick Netzer, 2018. "Time will tell - Recovering Preferences when Choices are Noisy," Papers 1811.02497, arXiv.org.
- Carlos Alós-Ferrer & Ernst Fehr & Nick Netzer, 2018. "Time will tell: recovering preferences when choices are noisy," ECON - Working Papers 306, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, revised Jun 2020.
References listed on IDEAS
- Andrew Caplin & Daniel Martin, 2015.
"A Testable Theory of Imperfect Perception,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 125(582), pages 184-202, February.
- Andrew Caplin & Daniel Martin, 2011. "A Testable Theory of Imperfect Perception," NBER Working Papers 17163, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew Caplin & Daniel Martin, 2015. "A Testable Theory of Imperfect Perception," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-01155313, HAL.
- Andrew Caplin & Daniel Martin, 2013. "A Testable Theory of Imperfect Perception," Levine's Working Paper Archive 786969000000000649, David K. Levine.
- Andrew Caplin & Daniel Martin, 2015. "A Testable Theory of Imperfect Perception," Post-Print halshs-01155313, HAL.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel A. Ballester, 2018.
"Monotone Stochastic Choice Models: The Case of Risk and Time Preferences,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(1), pages 74-106.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel Ángel Ballester, 2015. "Monotone Stochastic Choice Models: The Case of Risk and Time Preferences," Working Papers 859, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel A. Ballester, 2015. "Monotone stochastic choice models: The case of risk and time preferences," Economics Working Papers 1499, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Ian Krajbich & Bastiaan Oud & Ernst Fehr, 2014. "Benefits of Neuroeconomic Modeling: New Policy Interventions and Predictors of Preference," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 501-506, May.
- Leonidas Spiliopoulos & Andreas Ortmann, 2018. "The BCD of response time analysis in experimental economics," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 21(2), pages 383-433, June.
- B. Douglas Bernheim, 2009.
"Behavioral Welfare Economics,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 7(2-3), pages 267-319, 04-05.
- B. Douglas Bernheim, 2008. "Behavioral Welfare Economics," NBER Working Papers 14622, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel A. Ballester & Jay Lu, 2017.
"Single‐Crossing Random Utility Models,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 661-674, March.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel A. Ballester, 2016. "Single-crossing random utility models," Economics Working Papers 1515, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel Ángel Ballester, 2016. "Single-Crossing Random Utility Models," Working Papers 891, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Clithero, John A., 2018. "Improving out-of-sample predictions using response times and a model of the decision process," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 344-375.
- Ariel Rubinstein & Yuval Salant, 2012.
"Eliciting Welfare Preferences from Behavioural Data Sets,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 79(1), pages 375-387.
- Ariel Rubinstein & Yuval Salant, 2009. "Eliciting Welfare Preferences from Behavioral Datasets," Levine's Working Paper Archive 814577000000000374, David K. Levine.
- Yusufcan Masatlioglu & Daisuke Nakajima & Erkut Y. Ozbay, 2012.
"Revealed Attention,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(5), pages 2183-2205, August.
- Yusufcan Masatlioglu & Daisuke Nakajima & Erkut Ozbay, 2009. "Revealed Attention," NajEcon Working Paper Reviews 814577000000000409, www.najecon.org.
- Ariel Rubinstein, 2007.
"Instinctive and Cognitive Reasoning: A Study of Response Times,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 117(523), pages 1243-1259, October.
- Rubinstein, Ariel, 2006. "Instinctive and Cognitive Reasoning: A Study of Response Times," Economic Theory and Applications Working Papers 12181, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Ariel Rubinstein, 2006. "Instinctive and Cognitive Reasoning: A Study of Response Times," Working Papers 2006.36, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Ariel Rubinstein, 2006. "Instinctive and Cognitive Reasoning: A Study of Response Times," Discussion Papers 1424, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
- Satohiro Tajima & Jan Drugowitsch & Alexandre Pouget, 2016. "Optimal policy for value-based decision-making," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-12, November.
- Andrew Caplin & Mark Dean, 2015.
"Revealed Preference, Rational Inattention, and Costly Information Acquisition,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(7), pages 2183-2203, July.
- Andrew Caplin & Mark Dean, 2014. "Revealed Preference, Rational Inattention, and Costly Information Acquisition," NBER Working Papers 19876, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Echenique, Federico & Saito, Kota, 2017. "Response time and utility," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 49-59.
- Jörg Rieskamp & Jerome R. Busemeyer & Barbara A. Mellers, 2006. "Extending the Bounds of Rationality: Evidence and Theories of Preferential Choice," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 44(3), pages 631-661, September.
- Paola Manzini & Marco Mariotti, 2014.
"Stochastic Choice and Consideration Sets,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82(3), pages 1153-1176, May.
- Manzini, Paola & Mariotti, Marco, 2012. "Stochastic Choice and Consideration Sets," IZA Discussion Papers 6905, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Paola Manzini & Marco Mariotti, 2012. "Stochastic Choice and Consideration Sets," CEEL Working Papers 1205, Cognitive and Experimental Economics Laboratory, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia.
- Paola, Manzini & Marco, Mariotti, 2013. "Stochastic Choice and Consideration Sets," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-28, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Ian Krajbich & Björn Bartling & Todd Hare & Ernst Fehr, 2015. "Rethinking fast and slow based on a critique of reaction-time reverse inference," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, November.
- Andrew Schotter & Isabel Trevino, 2021.
"Is response time predictive of choice? An experimental study of threshold strategies,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 24(1), pages 87-117, March.
- Schotter, Andrew & Trevino, Isabel, 2014. "Is response time predictive of choice? An experimental study of threshold strategies," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2014-305, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
- David Buschena & David Zilberman, 2008.
"Generalized expected utility, heteroscedastic error, and path dependence in risky choice,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 201-201, April.
- David Buschena & David Zilberman, 2000. "Generalized Expected Utility, Heteroscedastic Error, and Path Dependence in Risky Choice," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 67-88, January.
- B. Douglas Bernheim & Antonio Rangel, 2009.
"Beyond Revealed Preference: Choice-Theoretic Foundations for Behavioral Welfare Economics,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 124(1), pages 51-104.
- Douglas Bernheim & Antonio Rangel, 2007. "Beyond Revealed Preference Choice Theoretic Foundations for Behavioral Welfare Economics," Discussion Papers 07-031, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
- B. Douglas Bernheim & Antonio Rangel, 2008. "Beyond Revealed Preference: Choice Theoretic Foundations for Behavioral Welfare Economics," NBER Working Papers 13737, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- John D. Hey & Chris Orme, 2018.
"Investigating Generalizations Of Expected Utility Theory Using Experimental Data,"
World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Experiments in Economics Decision Making and Markets, chapter 3, pages 63-98,
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Hey, John D & Orme, Chris, 1994. "Investigating Generalizations of Expected Utility Theory Using Experimental Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(6), pages 1291-1326, November.
- Alós-Ferrer, Carlos & Ritschel, Alexander, 2018. "The reinforcement heuristic in normal form games," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 224-234.
- Camerer, Colin F, 1989. "Does the Basketball Market Believe in the 'Hot Hand'?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(5), pages 1257-1261, December.
- Peter Moffatt, 2005. "Stochastic Choice and the Allocation of Cognitive Effort," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 8(4), pages 369-388, December.
- Wilcox, Nathaniel T, 1993. "Lottery Choice: Incentives, Complexity and Decision Time," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(421), pages 1397-1417, November.
- Grether, David M & Plott, Charles R, 1979.
"Economic Theory of Choice and the Preference Reversal Phenomenon,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(4), pages 623-638, September.
- Grether, David M. & Plott, Charles R., "undated". "Economic Theory of Choice and the Preference Reversal Phenomenon," Working Papers 152, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences.
- Barbera, Salvador & Pattanaik, Prasanta K, 1986. "Falmagne and the Rationalizability of Stochastic Choices in Terms of Random Orderings," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(3), pages 707-715, May.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel A. Ballester, 2015.
"A Measure of Rationality and Welfare,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 123(6), pages 1278-1310.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel Angel Ballester, 2010. "A measure of rationality and welfare," Economics Working Papers 1220, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2014.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel Ángel Ballester, 2014. "A Measure of Rationality and Welfare," Working Papers 573, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Jose Apesteguia & Miguel Ángel Ballester, 2010. "A Measure of Rationality and Welfare," Working Papers 467, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Marina Agranov & Pietro Ortoleva, 2017. "Stochastic Choice and Preferences for Randomization," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 125(1), pages 40-68.
- Yuval Salant & Ariel Rubinstein, 2008. "(A, f): Choice with Frames -super-1," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 75(4), pages 1287-1296.
- Jean-Michel Benkert & Nick Netzer, 2018.
"Informational Requirements of Nudging,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(6), pages 2323-2355.
- Jean-Michel Benkert & Nick Netzer, 2015. "Informational requirements of nudging," ECON - Working Papers 190, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, revised Aug 2016.
- Jean-Michel Benkert & Nick Netzer, 2015. "Informational Requirements of Nudging," CESifo Working Paper Series 5327, CESifo.
- Shafer, Wayne J, 1974. "The Nontransitive Consumer," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 42(5), pages 913-919, September.
- Anja Achtziger & Carlos Alós-Ferrer, 2014. "Fast or Rational? A Response-Times Study of Bayesian Updating," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 923-938, April.
- Daniel McFadden, 2001.
"Economic Choices,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(3), pages 351-378, June.
- McFadden, Daniel L., 2000. "Economic Choices," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2000-6, Nobel Prize Committee.
- repec:hal:pseose:halshs-01155313 is not listed on IDEAS
- Ballinger, T Parker & Wilcox, Nathaniel T, 1997. "Decisions, Error and Heterogeneity," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 107(443), pages 1090-1105, July.
- repec:bla:econom:v:43:y:1976:i:172:p:381-90 is not listed on IDEAS
- Frederick Mosteller & Philip Nogee, 1951. "An Experimental Measurement of Utility," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(5), pages 371-371.
- Christopher F. Chabris & David Laibson & Carrie L. Morris & Jonathon P. Schuldt & Dmitry Taubinsky, 2009.
"The Allocation of Time in Decision-Making,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 7(2-3), pages 628-637, 04-05.
- Taubinsky, Dmitry & Morris, Carrie L. & Schuldt, Jonathan P. & Chabris, Christopher F & Laibson, David I., 2009. "The Allocation of Time in Decision-Making," Scholarly Articles 4481495, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Ariel Rubinstein, 2007. "Instinctive and Cognitive Reasoning: Response Times Study," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000001011, UCLA Department of Economics.
- Michael Woodford, 2014. "Stochastic Choice: An Optimizing Neuroeconomic Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 495-500, May.
- Arkady Konovalov & Ian Krajbich, 2016. "Revealed Indifference: Using Response Times to Infer Preferences," Working Papers 16-01, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
- Ryan Webb, 2019. "The (Neural) Dynamics of Stochastic Choice," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 230-255, January.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Clithero, John A., 2018. "Response times in economics: Looking through the lens of sequential sampling models," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 61-86.
- Duffy, Sean & Smith, John, 2020. "An economist and a psychologist form a line: What can imperfect perception of length tell us about stochastic choice?," MPRA Paper 99417, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Alós-Ferrer & Michele Garagnani, 2022.
"Strength of preference and decisions under risk,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 309-329, June.
- Carlos Alós-Ferrer & Michele Garagnani, 2019. "Strength of preference and decisions under risk," ECON - Working Papers 330, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, revised Feb 2022.
- Duffy, Sean & Gussman, Steven & Smith, John, 2021. "Visual judgments of length in the economics laboratory: Are there brains in stochastic choice?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Carlos Alós-Ferrer & Johannes Buckenmaier, 2021.
"Cognitive sophistication and deliberation times,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 24(2), pages 558-592, June.
- Carlos Alós-Ferrer & Johannes Buckenmaier, 2018. "Cognitive sophistication and deliberation times," ECON - Working Papers 292, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, revised Apr 2019.
- Duffy, Sean & Gussman, Steven & Smith, John, 2019. "Judgments of length in the economics laboratory: Are there brains in choice?," MPRA Paper 93126, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Strittmatter, Anthony & Sunde, Uwe & Zegners, Dainis, 2022.
"Speed, Quality, and the Optimal Timing of Complex Decisions: Field Evidence,"
Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series
317, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Uwe Sunde & Dainis Zegners & Anthony Strittmatter, 2022. "Speed, Quality, and the Optimal Timing of Complex Decisions: Field Evidence," Papers 2201.10808, arXiv.org.
- Uwe Sunde & Dainis Zegners & Anthony Strittmatter, 2022. "Speed, Quality, and the Optimal Timing of Complex Decisions: Field Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 9546, CESifo.
- Cary Frydman & Ian Krajbich, 2022. "Using Response Times to Infer Others’ Private Information: An Application to Information Cascades," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2970-2986, April.
- Guo, Liang, 2021. "Contextual deliberation and the choice-valuation preference reversal," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
- Andrew Schotter & Isabel Trevino, 2021.
"Is response time predictive of choice? An experimental study of threshold strategies,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 24(1), pages 87-117, March.
- Schotter, Andrew & Trevino, Isabel, 2014. "Is response time predictive of choice? An experimental study of threshold strategies," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2014-305, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
- Arkady Konovalov & Ian Krajbich, 2016. "Revealed Indifference: Using Response Times to Infer Preferences," Working Papers 16-01, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
- David J. Cooper & Ian Krajbich & Charles N. Noussair, 2019. "Choice-Process Data in Experimental Economics," Journal of the Economic Science Association, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, August.
- Sean, Duffy & John, Smith, 2023. "Stochastic choice and imperfect judgments of line lengths: What is hiding in the noise?," MPRA Paper 116382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ryan Webb, 2019. "The (Neural) Dynamics of Stochastic Choice," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 230-255, January.
- Recalde, María P. & Riedl, Arno & Vesterlund, Lise, 2018.
"Error-prone inference from response time: The case of intuitive generosity in public-good games,"
Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 132-147.
- Maria P. Recalde & Arno Riedl & Lise Vesterlund, 2014. "Error Prone Inference from Response Time: The Case of Intuitive Generosity in Public Good Times," CESifo Working Paper Series 4987, CESifo.
- Lise Vesterlund, 2015. "Error Prone Inference from Response Time: The Case of Intuitive Generosity in Public-Good Games," Working Paper 5662, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh.
- Daniel Navarro-Martinez & Graham Loomes & Andrea Isoni & David Butler & Larbi Alaoui, 2018.
"Boundedly rational expected utility theory,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 199-223, December.
- Navarro-Martinez, Daniel & Loomes, Graham & Isoni, Andrea & Butler, David & Alaoui, Larbi, 2017. "Boundedly Rational Expected Utility Theory," MPRA Paper 79893, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Francesco Cerigioni, 2021.
"Dual Decision Processes: Retrieving Preferences When Some Choices Are Automatic,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(6), pages 1667-1704.
- Francesco Cerigioni, 2016. "Dual Decision Processes: Retrieving Preferences when some Choices are Automatic," Working Papers 924, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Francesco Cerigioni, 2019. "Dual decision processes: retrieving preferences when some choices are automatic," Economics Working Papers 1673, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Jan Hausfeld & Sven Resnjanskij, 2017.
"Risky Decisions and the Opportunity Costs of Time,"
TWI Research Paper Series
108, Thurgauer Wirtschaftsinstitut, Universität Konstanz.
- Jan Hausfeld & Sven Resnjanskij, 2018. "Risky Decisions and the Opportunity Cost of Time," ifo Working Paper Series 269, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Alós-Ferrer, Carlos & Garagnani, Michele, 2022. "The gradual nature of economic errors," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 55-66.
- Carlos Alós-Ferrer & Johannes Buckenmaier & Michele Garagnani, 2020. "Stochastic choice and preference reversals," ECON - Working Papers 370, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, revised Jul 2021.
More about this item
JEL classification:
- D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory
- D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
- D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
- D87 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Neuroeconomics
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/713732. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Journals Division (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/JPE .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.