IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/smx/journl/05541.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Costo economico de la impunidad

Author

Listed:
  • Eva Olimpia Arceo Gomez

    (Universidad Iberoamericana, Ciudad de Mexico)

Abstract

El objetivo de este documento es hacer una estimacion educada del costo economico de la impunidad en Mexico, especificamente, aquella relacionada con homicidios, desapariciones y desplazamientos forzados durante la guerra contra el narco. La estimacion fue realizada en tres etapas. Primero, se llevo a cabo una amplia revision de la literatura sobre los costos de la violencia criminal relacionada con la guerra contra el narco, y la relacion entre calidad institucional, impunidad y legitimidad de las instituciones en homicidios. En una segunda etapa, se estimaron los costos economicos de las perdidas de vidas mediante una imputacion del flujo salarial no realizado de las victimas. Finalmente, se estimo el costo economico de la impunidad en Mexico con base en las etapas anteriores. Los resultados muestran que para 2030, si no se perpetra ni un asesinato mas, se habran perdido 1.8 billones de pesos en comparacion con una senda de crecimiento sin asesinatos ni desaparecidos, mientras que para 2050 el costo ascenderia a 8.7 billones de pesos.

Suggested Citation

  • Eva Olimpia Arceo Gomez, 2022. "Costo economico de la impunidad," Sobre México. Revista de Economía, Sobre México. Temas en economía, vol. 3(5), pages 5-41.
    • Handle: RePEc:smx:journl:05:5:41
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://sobremexico-revista.ibero.mx/index.php/Revista_Sobre_Mexico/article/view/103
    File Function: First version, 2022
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raymundo M. Campos-Vázquez, 2013. "Efectos de los ingresos no reportados en el nivel y tendencia de la pobreza laboral en México," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(2), pages 23-54, November.
    2. Oeindrila Dube & Omar García-Ponce & Kevin Thom, 2016. "From Maize to Haze: Agricultural Shocks and the Growth of the Mexican Drug Sector," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(5), pages 1181-1224.
    3. Heckman, James, 2013. "Sample selection bias as a specification error," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 31(3), pages 129-137.
    4. Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal, 2003. "The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 113-132, March.
    5. Paolo Pinotti, 2015. "The Economic Costs of Organised Crime: Evidence from Southern Italy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 125(586), pages 203-232, August.
    6. Oeindrila Dube & Omar García-Ponce & Kevin Thom, 2016. "From Maize To Haze: Agricultural Shocks And The Growth Of The Mexican Drug Sector," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(5), pages 1181-1224, October.
    7. Gabriela Calderón & Gustavo Robles & Alberto Díaz-Cayeros & Beatriz Magaloni, 2015. "The Beheading of Criminal Organizations and the Dynamics of Violence in Mexico," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 59(8), pages 1455-1485, December.
    8. De Hoyos Navarro,Rafael E. & Gutierrez Fierros,Carlos & Vargas M.,J. Vicente, 2016. "Idle youth in Mexico : trapped between the war on drugs and economic crisis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7558, The World Bank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mascarúa Lara Miguel A., 2022. "Imperfect Law Enforcement, Informality, and Organized Crime," Working Papers 2022-16, Banco de México.
    2. Ceren Baysan & Marshall Burke & Felipe González & Solomon Hsiang & Edward Miguel, 2018. "Economic and Non-Economic Factors in Violence: Evidence from Organized Crime, Suicides and Climate in Mexico," NBER Working Papers 24897, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Juan Camilo Castillo & Daniel Mejía & Pascual Restrepo, 2020. "Scarcity without Leviathan: The Violent Effects of Cocaine Supply Shortages in the Mexican Drug War," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(2), pages 269-286, May.
    4. Baysan, Ceren & Burke, Marshall & González, Felipe & Hsiang, Solomon & Miguel, Edward, 2019. "Non-economic factors in violence: Evidence from organized crime, suicides and climate in Mexico," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 434-452.
    5. Daniele, Gianmarco & Le Moglie, Marco & Masera, Federico, 2023. "Pains, guns and moves: The effect of the U.S. opioid epidemic on Mexican migration," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    6. Germà Bel & Maximilian Holst, 2018. "Assessing the effects of the Mexican Drug War on economic growth: An empirical analysis," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 85(1), pages 276-303, July.
    7. Niklas Potrafke & Fabian Ruthardt & Kaspar Wuthrich, 2020. "Protectionism and economic growth: Causal evidence from the first era of globalization," Papers 2010.02378, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    8. Brodeur, Abel & Yousaf, Hasin, 2019. "The Economics of Mass Shootings," IZA Discussion Papers 12728, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Eduardo Ferraz & Rodrigo Soares & Juan Vargas, 2022. "Unbundling the relationship between economic shocks and crime," Chapters, in: Paolo Buonanno & Paolo Vanin & Juan Vargas (ed.), A Modern Guide to the Economics of Crime, chapter 8, pages 184-204, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    10. Sandra Achten & Lars Beyer & Antje-Mareike Dietrich & Dennis Ebeling & Christian Lessmann & Arne Steinkraus, 2019. "Large scale infrastructure investment and economic performance – a case study of Oresund," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 21-26, January.
    11. Nicholas Ajzenman, Sebastian Galiani, and Enrique Seira, 2014. "On the Distributed Costs of Drug-Related Homicides - Working Paper 364," Working Papers 364, Center for Global Development.
    12. Nicolas Ajzenman & Sebastian Galiani & Enrique Seira, 2015. "On the Distributive Costs of Drug-Related Homicides," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 58(4).
    13. Monastiriotis, Vassilis & Zilic, Ivan, 2020. "The economic effects of political disintegration: Lessons from Serbia and Montenegro," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    14. Peter Hull & Michal Kolesár & Christopher Walters, 2022. "Labor by design: contributions of David Card, Joshua Angrist, and Guido Imbens," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 124(3), pages 603-645, July.
    15. Roxana Guti'errez-Romero & Nayely Iturbe, 2024. "Causes and Electoral Consequences of Political Assassinations: The Role of Organized Crime in Mexico," Papers 2407.06733, arXiv.org.
    16. Nicola Limodio, 2022. "Terrorism Financing, Recruitment, and Attacks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(4), pages 1711-1742, July.
    17. Millán-Quijano, Jaime & Pulgarín, Sebastián, 2023. "Oiling up the field. Forced internal displacement and the expansion of palm oil in Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    18. Isaksen, Elisabeth Thuestad, 2020. "Have international pollution protocols made a difference?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    19. Castillo, Victoria & Figal Garone, Lucas & Maffioli, Alessandro & Salazar, Lina, 2017. "The causal effects of regional industrial policies on employment: A synthetic control approach," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 25-41.
    20. Bueno, Matheus & Valente, Marica, 2019. "The effects of pricing waste generation: A synthetic control approach," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 274-285.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:smx:journl:05:5:41. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Maria Alejandra Villegas Gutierrez (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://sobremexico-revista.ibero.mx/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.