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Rizika a výzvy měnové strategie k převzetí eura
[Risks and challenges of monetary strategy for euro adoption]

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  • Oldřich Dědek

Abstract

The paper evaluates some policy dilemmas the Czech monetary policy will face on the way towards adopting common currency. The assessment of the inflation criterion concentrates on the potential clash with so called real convergence showing that alleged negative influences on the catching-up process seem to be exaggerated. The reasons leading to some scepticism about the ERM-II arrangement are further explained with distinction placed on eligibility and regime selection motives when applying for the ERM-II membership. Finally, the pros and cons of inflation targeting are discussed from the perspective of promoting the fulfilment of Maastricht requirements. Attention is paid to the issue of optimal exit form inflation targeting having in mind the priority of entering Eurozone with a proper conversion rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Oldřich Dědek, 2006. "Rizika a výzvy měnové strategie k převzetí eura [Risks and challenges of monetary strategy for euro adoption]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2006(1), pages 3-21.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2006:y:2006:i:1:id:542:p:3-21
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.542
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Backé, Peter & Thimann, Christian & Arratibel, Olga & Calvo-Gonzalez, Oscar & Mehl, Arnaud & Nerlich, Carolin, 2004. "The acceding countries’ strategies towards ERM II and the adoption of the euro: an analytical review," Occasional Paper Series 10, European Central Bank.
    2. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hammermann, Felix & Schweickert, Rainer & Vinhas de Souza, Lúcio, 2004. "European monetary integration after EU enlargement," Kiel Discussion Papers 413, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Peter A.G. van Bergeijk & Ron J. Berndsen & W. J. Jansen (ed.), 2000. "The Economics of the Euro Area," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1859, December.
    4. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Adopting the Euro in Central Europe: Challenges of the Next Step in European Integration," IMF Occasional Papers 2005/004, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Theodoros S. Papaspyrou, 2004. "EMU Strategies: Lessons from Past Experience in View of EU Enlargement," Working Papers 11, Bank of Greece.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation targeting; nominal and real convergence; euro adoption; Maastricht criteria; ERM-II membership;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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