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Ergodic Transition in a Simple Model of the Continuous Double Auction

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  • Tijana Radivojević
  • Jonatha Anselmi
  • Enrico Scalas

Abstract

We study a phenomenological model for the continuous double auction, whose aggregate order process is equivalent to two independent queues. The continuous double auction defines a continuous-time random walk for trade prices. The conditions for ergodicity of the auction are derived and, as a consequence, three possible regimes in the behavior of prices and logarithmic returns are observed. In the ergodic regime, prices are unstable and one can observe a heteroskedastic behavior in the logarithmic returns. On the contrary, non-ergodicity triggers stability of prices, even if two different regimes can be seen.

Suggested Citation

  • Tijana Radivojević & Jonatha Anselmi & Enrico Scalas, 2014. "Ergodic Transition in a Simple Model of the Continuous Double Auction," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(2), pages 1-5, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0088095
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0088095
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Scalas, Enrico, 2006. "The application of continuous-time random walks in finance and economics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 362(2), pages 225-239.
    2. Rama Cont & Sasha Stoikov & Rishi Talreja, 2010. "A Stochastic Model for Order Book Dynamics," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 58(3), pages 549-563, June.
    3. Tijana Radivojević & Jonatha Anselmi & Enrico Scalas, 2012. "A stylized model for the continuous double auction," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Andrea Teglio & Simone Alfarano & Eva Camacho-Cuena & Miguel Ginés-Vilar (ed.), Managing Market Complexity, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 115-125, Springer.
    4. Eric Smith & J Doyne Farmer & Laszlo Gillemot & Supriya Krishnamurthy, 2003. "Statistical theory of the continuous double auction," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(6), pages 481-514.
    5. Olivier Brandouy & Angelo Corelli & Iryna Veryzhenko & Roger Waldeck, 2012. "A re-examination of the “zero is enough” hypothesis in the emergence of financial stylized facts," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 7(2), pages 223-248, October.
    6. Rama Cont & Adrien de Larrard, 2013. "Price Dynamics in a Markovian Limit Order Market," Post-Print hal-00552252, HAL.
    7. Gode, Dhananjay K & Sunder, Shyam, 1993. "Allocative Efficiency of Markets with Zero-Intelligence Traders: Market as a Partial Substitute for Individual Rationality," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(1), pages 119-137, February.
    8. Garibaldi,Ubaldo & Scalas,Enrico, 2010. "Finitary Probabilistic Methods in Econophysics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521515597, January.
    9. Olivier Brandouy & Angelo Corelli & Iryna Veryzhenko & Roger Waldeck, 2012. "A re-examination of the "zero is enough" hypothesis in the emergence of financial stylized facts," Post-Print hal-00951015, HAL.
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    Cited by:

    1. Scalas, Enrico & Rapallo, Fabio & Radivojević, Tijana, 2017. "Low-traffic limit and first-passage times for a simple model of the continuous double auction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 485(C), pages 61-72.
    2. Luisanna Cocco & Michele Marchesi, 2016. "Modeling and Simulation of the Economics of Mining in the Bitcoin Market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(10), pages 1-31, October.
    3. Gerardo-Giorda, Luca & Germano, Guido & Scalas, Enrico, 2015. "Large scale simulation of synthetic markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67563, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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