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Nonconvex adjustment costs, hysteresis, and the macrodynamics of employment

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  • Paulo Mota
  • Paulo Vasconcelos

Abstract

This study provides new evidence on the effects of nonconvex employment adjustment costs at the aggregate level. Using the Preisach model of hysteresis, we find that hysteresis commonly found at the firm level due to nonconvex adjustment costs do not completely vanish at the macro level. Hysteresis signs are particularly present in small firms and less so in large ones. The consequence is that the equilibrium state of employment, instead of being unique, becomes path dependent, that is, determined by the history of previous adjustments. The key implication is that macroeconomic policies designed to stimulate the economy may have long-run effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Paulo Mota & Paulo Vasconcelos, 2012. "Nonconvex adjustment costs, hysteresis, and the macrodynamics of employment," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 93-112.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:35:y:2012:i:1:p:93-112
    DOI: 10.2753/PKE0160-3477350106
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ansgar Belke & Dominik Kronen, 2016. "Exchange rate bands of inaction and play-hysteresis in Greek exports to the Euro Area, the US and Turkey: sectoral evidence," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 43(2), pages 349-390, May.
    2. Belke, Ansgar & Göcke, Matthias, 2019. "Interest rate hysteresis in macroeconomic investment under uncertainty," Ruhr Economic Papers 801, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    3. Matthias Göcke & Laura Werner, 2015. "Play Hysteresis in Supply or in Demand as Part of a Market Model," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(2), pages 339-374, May.
    4. Jolita Adamonis & Matthias Göcke, 2019. "Modelling economic hysteresis losses caused by sunk adjustment costs," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 299-318, April.
    5. Svetlana Fedoseeva & Laura M. Werner, 2016. "How linear is pricing-to-market? Empirical assessment of hysteresis and asymmetry of PTM," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 1065-1090, May.
    6. Belke, Ansgar & Göcke, Matthias & Werner, Laura, 2014. "Hysteresis Effects in Economics – Different Methods for Describing Economic Path-dependence," Ruhr Economic Papers 468, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    7. Matthias Goecke, 2019. "Economic Hysteresis with Multiple Inputs - A Simplified Treatment," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, vol. 17(1-B), pages 98-113.
    8. Paulo Mota & José Varejão & Paulo Vasconcelos, 2015. "A hysteresis model-based indicator for employment adjustment rigidity," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 42(3), pages 547-569, August.
    9. Sérgio Kannebley Júnior & João Paulo Martins Baroni & Diogo de Prince, 2015. "Macro-Hysteresis Test for Brazilian Exports of Manufactured Products: A threshold Panel Approach," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(4), pages 606-637, November.
    10. repec:zbw:rwirep:0468 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Paulo R. Mota & Abel L. C. Fernandes & Paulo B. Vasconcelos, 2018. "Employment Hysteresis: An Argument For Avoiding Front-Loaded Fiscal Consolidations In The Eurozone," FEP Working Papers 610, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    12. Mevlut Tatliyer, 2017. "Inflation targeting and the need for a new central banking framework," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 512-539, October.
    13. Svetlana Fedoseeva & Laura M. Werner, 2014. "Asymmetry and Hysteresis: Two Perspectives on Pricing-to-Market Nonlinearity," Working Papers 2014.02, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    14. Ansgar Belke & Matthias Göcke & Laura Werner, 2014. "Hysteresis Effects in Economics – Different Methods for Describing Economic Path-dependence," Ruhr Economic Papers 0468, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.

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