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A gazdasági várakozások hatása a tőzsdei momentumstratégiára
[The impact of economic expectations on the momentum trading strategy]

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  • Neszveda, Gábor
  • Csillag, Balázs

Abstract

A momentumstratégia az egyik legelterjedtebb és leggyakrabban vizsgált tőzsdei stratégia. A nemzetközi és a magyar piacokon elvégzett kutatások eredményei megmutatták, hogy a momentum - azaz a részvények múltbeli teljesítménye - szignifikánsan képes előre jelezni a következő időszak várható hozamát. Számos lehetséges magyarázat között a momentumstratégia jövedelmezőségének egyik jelentős magyarázata a viselkedési tudományokra épít. A tanulmány célja a részvények hozamának előrejelzésére használt momentumstratégia vizsgálata a magyar tőkepiacon a gazdasági várakozások alakulásának függvényében. Ha a momentumstratégia jövedelmezősége valóban az emberi viselkedés miatt van jelen, akkor a túlzottan pozitív gazdasági várakozások esetén erősebb hatás várható a stratégiától.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: G11, G12.

Suggested Citation

  • Neszveda, Gábor & Csillag, Balázs, 2020. "A gazdasági várakozások hatása a tőzsdei momentumstratégiára [The impact of economic expectations on the momentum trading strategy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1093-1111.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1932
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2020.11.1093
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Neszveda, Gábor & Vágó, Ákos, 2021. "A likviditásnyújtás kereskedési stratégiájának hozamvizsgálata a magyar részvénypiacon [Examining trade-strategy results of liquidity provision on the Hungarian stock market]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 794-814.
    2. Neszveda, Gábor & Csillag, Balázs, 2022. "Gyorsjelentés - lassú árfolyam? A gyorsjelentés utáni árfolyamsodródás vizsgálata a magyar részvénypiacon [Post-earnings announcement drift on the Hungarian stock market]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 801-824.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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