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A Causal and Correlation Analysis between China Energy Futures and China Energy-Related Companies Stock Market

Author

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  • Yufang Liu
  • Chi Zhang
  • Wang Zhang
  • Chun Wei

Abstract

Taking the opportunity of China’s launch of Shanghai crude oil futures (INE), this study empirically examined the information transmission in this immature financial market, investigating this issue from a new perspective. To identify the impact of INE on the related stock market, we collected high-frequency trading data of oil futures and 22 stocks owned by listed companies in the upstream and downstream of China’s oil-related industry chains, constructed a causal chain through Directed Acyclic Graph, and used MFDCCA-MODWT to perform multifractal analysis on the chain. Research shows that INE does have a causal relationship with the stock market of the related industry chain, and there is a multifractal correlation between its transaction time series. Subsequently, the source of fractal correlation was analysed with shuffled and surrogated sequences. We conclude that long memory plays a leading role and is the main reason for multifractal features.

Suggested Citation

  • Yufang Liu & Chi Zhang & Wang Zhang & Chun Wei, 2021. "A Causal and Correlation Analysis between China Energy Futures and China Energy-Related Companies Stock Market," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-13, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:hin:complx:3459427
    DOI: 10.1155/2021/3459427
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Zi-Xin & Liu, Bing-Yue & Fan, Ying, 2023. "Network connectedness between China's crude oil futures and sector stock indices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    2. Chen, Baifan & Huang, Jionghao & Liu, Danhe & Xia, Xiaohua, 2024. "Time-frequency return connectedness between Chinese coal futures and international stock indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 316-333.

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