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Forecasting Stock Market Prices Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models: A Systematic Review, Performance Analysis and Discussion of Implications

Author

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  • Gaurang Sonkavde

    (Department of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, Symbiosis Institute of Technology, Symbiosis International Deemed University, Pune 412115, Maharashtra, India)

  • Deepak Sudhakar Dharrao

    (Department of Computer Science & Engineering, Symbiosis Institute of Technology, Symbiosis International Deemed University, Pune 412115, Maharashtra, India)

  • Anupkumar M. Bongale

    (Department of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, Symbiosis Institute of Technology, Symbiosis International Deemed University, Pune 412115, Maharashtra, India)

  • Sarika T. Deokate

    (Department of Computer Engineering, Pimpri Chinchwad College of Engineering, Pune 411044, Maharashtra, India)

  • Deepak Doreswamy

    (Department of Mechatronics, Manipal Institute of Technology, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal 576104, Karnataka, India)

  • Subraya Krishna Bhat

    (Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Manipal Institute of Technology, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal 576104, Karnataka, India)

Abstract

The financial sector has greatly impacted the monetary well-being of consumers, traders, and financial institutions. In the current era, artificial intelligence is redefining the limits of the financial markets based on state-of-the-art machine learning and deep learning algorithms. There is extensive use of these techniques in financial instrument price prediction, market trend analysis, establishing investment opportunities, portfolio optimization, etc. Investors and traders are using machine learning and deep learning models for forecasting financial instrument movements. With the widespread adoption of AI in finance, it is imperative to summarize the recent machine learning and deep learning models, which motivated us to present this comprehensive review of the practical applications of machine learning in the financial industry. This article examines algorithms such as supervised and unsupervised machine learning algorithms, ensemble algorithms, time series analysis algorithms, and deep learning algorithms for stock price prediction and solving classification problems. The contributions of this review article are as follows: (a) it provides a description of machine learning and deep learning models used in the financial sector; (b) it provides a generic framework for stock price prediction and classification; and (c) it implements an ensemble model—“Random Forest + XG-Boost + LSTM”—for forecasting TAINIWALCHM and AGROPHOS stock prices and performs a comparative analysis with popular machine learning and deep learning models.

Suggested Citation

  • Gaurang Sonkavde & Deepak Sudhakar Dharrao & Anupkumar M. Bongale & Sarika T. Deokate & Deepak Doreswamy & Subraya Krishna Bhat, 2023. "Forecasting Stock Market Prices Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models: A Systematic Review, Performance Analysis and Discussion of Implications," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-22, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:11:y:2023:i:3:p:94-:d:1203368
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Syed Shahan Ali & Muhammad Mubeen & Irfan Lal & Adnan Hussain, 2018. "Prediction of stock performance by using logistic regression model: evidence from Pakistan stock exchange (PSX)," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(7), pages 247-258, July.
    2. Jiayu Qiu & Bin Wang & Changjun Zhou, 2020. "Forecasting stock prices with long-short term memory neural network based on attention mechanism," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, January.
    3. Jordan Mann & J. Nathan Kutz, 2015. "Dynamic Mode Decomposition for Financial Trading Strategies," Papers 1508.04487, arXiv.org.
    4. Xiao Zhong & David Enke, 2019. "Predicting the daily return direction of the stock market using hybrid machine learning algorithms," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-20, December.
    5. Syed Shahan Ali & Muhammad Mubeen & Irfan Lal & Adnan Hussain, 2018. "Prediction of Stock Performance by Using Logistic Regression Model: Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(7), pages 247-258.
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    Cited by:

    1. Riaz Ud Din & Salman Ahmed & Saddam Hussain Khan, 2024. "A Novel Decision Ensemble Framework: Customized Attention-BiLSTM and XGBoost for Speculative Stock Price Forecasting," Papers 2401.11621, arXiv.org.

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