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How Much Would China’s GDP Respond to a Slowdown in Housing Activity?

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas R. Cook
  • Jun Nie
  • Aaron Smalter Hall

Abstract

We analyze China's interindustry connections and show that China?s housing activity has become increasingly important to its GDP growth. Our results suggest that a 10 percent decline in final demand for real estate and housing-related construction would lead to a decline in total output of 2.2 percent, an effect more than two times larger than it would have been 10 years ago.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas R. Cook & Jun Nie & Aaron Smalter Hall, 2018. "How Much Would China’s GDP Respond to a Slowdown in Housing Activity?," Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue September, pages 1-5, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedkmb:00068
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    File URL: https://www.kansascityfed.org/documents/408/macrobulletins-How%20Much%20Would%20China%E2%80%99s%20GDP%20Respond%20to%20a%20Slowdown%20in%20Housing%20Activity%3F.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Yongming Huang & Jamal Khan & Eric Girardin & Umair Shad, 2021. "The Role of the Real Estate Sector in the Structural Dynamics of the Chinese Economy: An Input–Output Analysis," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(1), pages 61-86, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    real estate investments; China; Housing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G50 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - General

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