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Sostenibilidad de la deuda pública en México, antes y después del COVID-19, 2018-2024/Sustainability of public debt in Mexico, before and after COVID-19, 2018-2024

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Carlos Rivas Valdivia

    (Sede Subregional de la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe en México)

Abstract

En este documento se presenta una estimación contable y econométrica para el análisis de sostenibilidad de la deuda para México durante el periodo 2018-2024. El estudio pone especial énfasis en las trayectorias de deuda y en los factores internos y externos que pueden modificar dichas sendas, incluyendo la pandemia por COVID-19. El análisis concluye que algunos de los choques internos o externos extremos, modelados sobre la dinámica de la deuda pública en México, ponen en riesgo la sostenibilidad de su trayectoria en el mediano y largo plazo para el país.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Carlos Rivas Valdivia, 2021. "Sostenibilidad de la deuda pública en México, antes y después del COVID-19, 2018-2024/Sustainability of public debt in Mexico, before and after COVID-19, 2018-2024," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 36(1), pages 57-87.
    • Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:36:y:2021:i:1:p:57-87
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    File URL: https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/414/531
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    deuda; sostenibilidad; crecimiento económico; debt; sustainability; economic growth; México;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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