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Türkiye’nin Ihracata Dayali Buyumesinin Ekonometrik Analizi

Author

Listed:
  • Yahya Can DURA

    (Icisleri Bakanligi)

  • Mustafa Kemal BESER

    (Eskisehir Osmangazi Universitesi)

  • Hakan ACAROGLU

    (Eskisehir Osmangazi Universitesi)

Abstract

Ihracatin ekonomik gelismeyi pozitif etkiledigini belirten Ihracata Dayali Buyume Hipotezi (IDBH) siklikla dogrusal nedensellik testleriyle arastirilmistir. Bazi bulgular bir nedenselligin varligini ortaya koyarken, diger bazi bulgular ise ihracat ile buyume arasinda nedensellik iliskisi olmadigini ortaya koymaktadir. Ancak cok az sayida calisma IDBH cercevesinde dogrusal olmayan iliski yapisina odaklanmaktadir. Bu calismanin amaci; IDBH’nin Turkiye icin gecerliligini test etmek icin ihracat ile buyume arasindaki olasi dogrusal olmayan nedensellik iliski(lerini) (yonunu) dogrusal olmayan bir cercevede incelemektir. Bu sebeple, dogrusal olmayan nedensellikleri kapsayan parametrik olmayan nedensellik testlerinden Diks ve Panchenko (2006) ve Hiemstra ve Jones (1994) testleri uygulanmistir. Diks ve Panchenko (2006)’nun modeli uygulandiginda, ihracattan ekonomik buyumeye dogru dogrusal olmayan nedensellige yonelik kanit bulunmustur. Ilave olarak Diks ve Panchenko (2006) testi Hiemstra ve Jones (1994) testine gore daha iyi performans gosterdigi gorulmustur. Bulgular IDBH’nin Turkiye icin gecerli olduguna isaret etmektedir.

Suggested Citation

  • Yahya Can DURA & Mustafa Kemal BESER & Hakan ACAROGLU, 2017. "Türkiye’nin Ihracata Dayali Buyumesinin Ekonometrik Analizi," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 17(2), pages 295-310.
    • Handle: RePEc:ege:journl:v:17:y:2017:i:2:p:295-310
    DOI: 10.21121/eab.2017124251
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    References listed on IDEAS

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